Iyo Lira yeTurkey iri padanho rekudonha Pasinei neSkyrocketing Key Interest Rates?

Munyori: Florian FendtSeptember 13, 2023

4.7 kubva pa5 nyeredzi (3 mavhoti)

Kana iwe wakadyarwa mumisika yemari, iwe ungangodaro wakanzwa yazvino ruzha nezveTurkey Lira (TRY). Pasinei nekukwira kukuru kwemubereko kubva pa17.5% kusvika 25% neTurkey Central Bank (TCMB), lira yadzokera kukuyedza mvura ine njodzi. Izvi zvinosiya vanoisa mari uye traders kubvunza mubvunzo wakakosha: "Uku ndiko kuguma kweTurkey Lira?"

Rarama Chati yeUSD/TRY

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1. The ichangopfuura Interest Rate Kukwira

Mari dzemhindu imunondo unocheka kumativi maviri munyika ye Forex. Kune rumwe rutivi, kukwira kwemitengo kunogona kusimbisa mari nekukwezva mari yekunze. Kune rimwe divi, rinogona kuratidza kusuwa kufamba kunorwa inflation kana devaluation yemari. Kukwira kwemwero weTCMB kwazvino uno, zvakanyanya kupfuura zvakafanotaurwa nenyanzvi dzehupfumi, inowira muchikamu chekupedzisira. Asi zvakashanda here?

Iyo Lira yeTurkey yakaratidza kutanga kuwana kurwisana nemari huru seEuro neDhora. Nekudaro, iyi uptick yaive yenguva pfupi, uye iyo USD / KUEDZA vaviri vakakurumidza kudzokera kune zvine chekuita nemazinga. Ngationgororei kuti izvi zvinorevei traders.

1.1. Zviratidzo Zvinonyanya Kusagadzikana kwaLira

Zviratidzo zvinoverengeka zvinonongedza kuenderera mberi kusagadzikana kweTurkey Lira:

Inflation Rate: Pa47.8%, inodarika iyo yakakosha mubereko.
Kuwanikwa Kwenguva pfupi: Chero kukwidziridzwa kunoitwa naLira kunoratidzika kunge kuri kupera nekukurumidza.
USD/TRY Manhanho: Vaviri vakadzoka pa26.94, zvine njodzi padyo nedenga re27.3.

Zviratidzo izvi zvinoratidza kuti kukwira kwemitengo hakuna kuita zvishoma kudzikamisa mari.

1.2. Technical Analysis uye Stop Kurasikirwa

Technical ongororo inowedzera imwe nhanho yekuoma. Chart mapatani anoratidza kuti USD/TRY iri kukwenya kuyedza iyo 27.3 mamaki. Kana zvikadaro, kudonha kwekurasikirwa kwekumira kunogona kukonzeresa, zvichiwedzera kudonha kweLira.

USD/EDZA kudonha nguva dzese dzakakwirira

For traders, izvi zvinoreva kukwidziridzwa ngozi asiwo mukana wemibairo yakakwirira. Risk management nzira zvakakosha pano, kunyanya kune vanotanga vangave vasina kujairana nekukasira kwekumira kurasikirwa uye kuwedzera.

2. The Domino Effect: Global Impact

Haisi iyo Turkey chete inonzwa ripple mhedzisiro yekuderera kweLira. Misika yepasi rose yakabatana, uye kutadza kwemari kunogona kuve nemhedzisiro inosvika kure.

Turkey lira inflation

Kana iwe uchida mamwe epamusoro machati kugona, isu tinogona kukurudzira Tradingview. Pano iwe unogona kuona kuti kunyange iyo yakareba chati inoratidza kunetsa kwenguva refu kweTurkey nemari yayo.

Semuenzaniso, mabhanga eEurope ane ruzivo rwakakura kune chikwereti cheTurkey. Kudonha kweLira kunowedzera njodzi yekutadza, izvo zvinogona kukanganisa masangano emari kure kupfuura miganhu yeTurkey.

3. Chii Chinogona Traders Do?

Paunenge uchifamba mumvura ine choppy, ruzivo uye zano ndivo vabatsiri vako vakanyanya. Heano mamwe mazano:

Gara Uchiziviswa: Ramba wakatarisa pamakarenda ehupfumi uye zviziviso.
Gadzirisa Kuwedzera: Funga kudzikisa simba rako kuti uderedze njodzi.
Shandisa Stop Losses: Yakaiswa zvakanaka rega kurasikirwa zvinogona kudzivirira kurasikirwa nenjodzi.
Bvunza Nyanzvi: Usamborerutsa kukosha kwezano renyanzvi.

Rangarira, kutengesa hakusi kwekukwira mafungu chete asiwo nezvekugara wakayangarara panguva yemadutu.

4. Mhedziso: Uyu Ndiwo Mugumo Here?

Mamiriro eTurkey Lira haana kunaka, kutaura zvishoma. Kunyangwe nekufamba kwakashinga neTCMB, kukosha kweLira kunoramba kwakarembera neshinda. Traders inofanira kuenderera mberi nekuchenjerera uye ramba wakatarisa pa USD / TRY pair sezvainoswedera kune 27.3 mark.

Matekiniki ehasha eTurkey Central Bank achabhadhara here, kana kuti tiri kupupurira zvitsauko zvekupedzisira zvenyaya yeTurkey Lira? Nguva chete ndiyo ichataura, asi chinhu chimwe chakajeka: traders, vangave manovices kana nyanzvi, vanofanirwa kugadzirira kukwira rollercoaster.

Munyori: Florian Fendt

An ambitious investor uye trader, Florian akavamba BrokerCheck mushure mekudzidza economics kuyunivhesiti. Kubva 2017 anogovera ruzivo rwake uye chido chemisika yemari pa BrokerCheck.

Verenga Zvakawanda zveFlorian Fendt