1. Kunzwisisa Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis chishandiso chakakosha munyika yekutengesa, chinowanzoshandiswa ne traders kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo mune ramangwana. Iyi nzira inonyanya kusanganisira kudzidza manhamba maitiro akaunganidzwa kubva mukutengesa zviitiko, sekufamba kwemutengo uye huwandu. Kusiyana fundamental analysis, iyo inotarisa kukosha kwekambani yemukati, ongororo yehunyanzvi inotarisa pamachati ekufamba kwemitengo uye akasiyana maturusi ekuongorora kuongorora simba kana kushaya simba kwechengetedzo.
Pamwoyo wekuongorora kwehunyanzvi pane pfungwa yekuti mitengo inofamba mumaitiro. Traders vanoshandisa nzira iyi vanotenda kuti chiitiko chekare chekutengesa uye shanduko yemitengo inogona kuve yakakosha zviratidzo zvekutarisira mutengo wekufamba mune ramangwana. Vanotsvaga mapatani pamachati emitengo, akadai se'musoro nemapendekete' kana 'double top', kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo yeramangwana.
Technical indicators zvikamu zvakakosha zvekuongorora kwehunyanzvi. Aya masvomhu masvomhu anoenderana nemutengo, vhoriyamu, kana vhura kufarira chechengetedzo kana kondirakiti. Vanopa maonero akasiyana pamusoro pesimba uye kutungamirirwa kwechiito chemutengo chiri pasi. Mamwe eanonyanya kushandiswa tekinoroji zviratidzo anosanganisira Moving Avhareji, Hama Strength Index (RSI), Uye Kufambisa Avhareji Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Zvisinei, zvakakosha kuyeuka kuti hapana nzira imwe chete mukutengesa inovimbisa kubudirira. Nepo ongororo yehunyanzvi inogona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha, inofanirwa kushandiswa pamwe chete nedzimwe nzira uye maturusi. Iyi nzira inobatsira traders kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo, kuderedza ngozi, uye kuwedzera mukana wekuwana purofiti mukuedza kwavo kwekutengesa.
1.1. Tsanangudzo yeTechnical Analysis
Technical Analysis chirango chekutengesa chinoshandiswa kuongorora mari uye kuona mikana yekutengesa. Iyo inzira inoongorora maitiro emusika maitiro, kunyanya kuburikidza nekudzidza kwekare musika data, kunyanya mutengo uye huwandu. Kusiyana nekuongorora kwakakosha, iyo inotarisisa kukosha kwekambani kukosha, ongororo yehunyanzvi inotarisa pamapateni, maitiro, uye zviratidzo.
Munzvimbo yekutengeserana, kuongororwa kwehunyanzvi kwakafanana nekambasi yemufambisi, inotungamira traders kuburikidza negungwa rakakura remusika wemari data. Ndiyo nzira yakarongeka iyo inotsamira zvakanyanya pamachati uye manhamba ehuwandu kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo mune ramangwana.
Nheyo yenheyo yekuongorora kwehunyanzvi ndeyekuti mutengo wemusika unoratidza ruzivo rwese rwakakodzera, saka kudzidza kwemutengo wekuita ndizvo zvese zvinodiwa. Inoshanda pazvinhu zvitatu zvakakosha fungidziro: musika unodzikisira zvese, mutengo unofamba mumafambisirwo, uye nhoroondo inoda kuzvidzokorora.
Pfungwa yekutanga, 'musika unobvisa zvese', inoratidza kuti mutengo wekuchengetedza unoratidza zvinhu zvose zvinogona kukanganisa kuchengeteka - zvinhu zvehupfumi, psychology yemusika, mamiriro ezvematongerwo enyika, nezvimwe zvakadaro. Pfungwa yechipiri, 'mutengo unofamba mumaitiro', inoisa kuti mitengo inowanzofamba mune imwe nzira kwenguva yakati. Pfungwa yechitatu uye yekupedzisira, 'nhoroondo inoda kuzvidzokorora', yakavakirwa pamusika psychology kazhinji inotaridza kuita zvinoenderana nekukurudzira kwakafanana nekufamba kwenguva.
Kuongorora kwehunyanzvi chinhu chakakosha kune chero trader kuvavarira kuwana purofiti inowirirana. Inopa yakasarudzika maonero pakuongororwa kwezvinhu zvemari, ichipa imwe lenzi yekuona uye kufanotaura mafambiro emusika. Nekudaro, sechishandiso chero chipi zvacho, chinofanira kushandiswa nemazvo uye pamwe chete nemamwe maturusi kuti chishande. Traders inofanira kuyeuka kuti ongororo yehunyanzvi inyanzvi kupfuura sainzi, nekubudirira kwayo kuri mukugona kwayo kuona mikana yekutengeserana.
1.2. The Basic Principles of Technical Analysis
Kuongorora kwehunyanzvi chirango chekutengesa chinotsvaga kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo yeramangwana nekudzidza data remusika rakapfuura. Kunyanya, inotarisa pamutengo uye ruzivo rwevhoriyamu, iyo yakarongwa pamachati panguva dzakasiyana dzenguva. Mutengo maitiro uye technical indicators ndiwo maturusi makuru maviri anoshandiswa pakuongorora uku.
Mutengo maitiro igraphical inomiririra yekufamba kwemitengo kunozivikanwa munharaunda yese yekutengesa. Iwo anowanzo umbwa nekufamba kwenguva uye anogona kupa zano kuenderera mberi kana kudzoreredza maitiro. Mamwe emhando dzakajairika anosanganisira Musoro uye Mafudzi, Kaviri Pamusoro uye Bottoms, nemhando dzakasiyana dzeTriangle.
Technical indicators, kune rumwe rutivi, masvomhu masvomhu anoenderana nemutengo wechengetedzo uye/kana vhoriyamu. Vanobatsira traders inocherekedza mamwe mamiriro emusika senge mafambiro, kusagadzikana, kukurumidza, uye kusimba kwemusika. Mienzaniso yeanozivikanwa tekinoroji zviratidzo zvinosanganisira Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), uye Bollinger Mabhandi.
Ongororo yehunyanzvi inofungidzira kuti ruzivo rwese rwemusika runoratidzwa mumutengo, zvichireva kuti zvinhu zvese zvinogona kukanganisa mutengo wekuchengetedza zvakatoiswa mukati. Izvi zvinozivikanwa se. Inoshanda Musika Hypothesis (EMH). Imwe nheyo yakakosha ndeyokuti kufamba kwemitengo hakuna kungoerekana kwaitika, kazhinji kunotevera maitiro. Izvi zvinowanzo zivikanwa se Dow Theory.
Pakupedzisira, nhoroondo inowanzozvidzokorora. Iyi musimboti yakavakirwa zvakanyanya pamusika psychology, iyo inowanzo fungika zvakanyanya zvichibva pamanzwiro akaita sekutya kana kufara. Chati mapatani uye technical indicators inogona kushandiswa kufanotaura mafambiro ematengo emangwana zvichibva pane zvakaitika kare.
Rangarira, nepo kuongororwa kwehunyanzvi kuchigona kubatsira zvakanyanya, hakusi kupusa. Inofanira kushandiswa pamwe chete nekuongorora kwakakosha uye maitiro ekugadzirisa mari kuti uwedzere mikana yako yekubudirira kwekutengesa.
1.3. Mabhenefiti eTechnical Analysis
Kuongorora kwehunyanzvi, nzira inowanzo shandiswa ne traders, inopa akawanda mabhenefiti ayo anogona kuwedzera zvakanyanya yako zvokutengeserana nzira. Pamusoro payo, zvekushandisa ongororo inopa kunzwisisa kwakadzama kwemusika psychology. Inokubatsira kuti unzwisise mamiriro ekubatana emanzwiro evatori vechikamu vese vemusika, ichipa mufananidzo wakajeka wezvinofungwa nevazhinji nezvemamiriro emusika aripo.
Historical mutengo mapatani uye maitiro gadzira hwaro hwekuongorora kwehunyanzvi. Nekudzidza mapatani aya, unogona kufanotaura mafambiro emutengo weramangwana nekunyatsoenderana. Uku kugona kufanotaura chishandiso chine simba chinogona kukubatsira kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo nezve nguva yekutenga nekutengesa.
Kuongorora kwehunyanzvi kunopawo kushambadzavantage of kushanda kune dzakawanda nguva dzenguva. Kana uri zuva trader uchitarisa kuchinja kweminiti kusvika kuminiti kana mutengi wenguva refu achidzidza maitiro egore, ongororo yehunyanzvi inogona kugadzirwa kuti ienderane nezvido zvako.
Imwe bhenefiti yakakosha ndeye kuchinjika pamisika yakasiyana. Iwe unogona kushandisa technical analysis kune mumatanda, forex, zvigadzirwa, uye kunyange cryptocurrencies. Iyi yepasirese inoita kuti ive chishandiso chakakosha mune chero trader's arsenal.
Pakupedzisira, kuongororwa kwehunyanzvi kunobvumira kushandiswa kwe zvoga zvekutengesa masisitimu. Aya masisitimu anogona kuita otomatiki trades zvichibva pane tekinoroji zviratidzo zvawakaseta, zvichikuchengetera nguva uye zvinogona kukubatsira kudzivirira manzwiro ekutengesa sarudzo.
Muchidimbu, mabhenefiti ekuongorora tekinoroji akakura, zvichiita kuti ive chinhu chakakosha mubhokisi rekushandisa chero yakakomba. trader. Kubva pakunzwisisa musika psychology kusvika kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo yeramangwana, mabhenefiti ayo akagadzirirwa kukubatsira kufamba pamusika uine chivimbo uye nekubudirira.
1.4. Kuganhurirwa kweTechnical Analysis
Kunyangwe hupfumi hweruzivo rwunogona kupa ruzivo rwehunyanzvi, zvakakosha kuyeuka kuti harisi bhora rekristaro rine simba rekufanotaura mafambiro emusika mune ramangwana aine chokwadi chakakwana. Ongororo yehunyanzvi ine painogumira, uye kunzwisisa izvi kwakakosha sekuziva maturusi nehunyanzvi pachavo.
Imwe yemipimo yakakosha ndeyekuongorora kwehunyanzvi zvikurukuru inofuratira zvinhu zvinokosha senge data rehupfumi, mafambiro eindasitiri, uye kuita kwekambani. Nepo mutengo uye vhoriyamu data inogona kuratidza zvakawanda nezve musika manzwiro, havagone kupa mufananidzo wakazara. Izvi zvinoreva kuti a trader anovimba chete nekuongorora kwehunyanzvi anogona kupotsa zvidimbu zvakakosha zveruzivo zvinogona kukanganisa sarudzo dzavo dzekutengesa.
Chimwe chinokanganisa ndechekuti ongororo yehunyanzvi ndeye zvichibva pane zvakaitika kare, uye sekutaura kunoita chirevo chekare, kuita kwekare hakuratidzi mhedzisiro yeramangwana. Mamiriro emusika anogona kushanduka nekukurumidza, uye mapatani aive echokwadi munguva yakapfuura anogona kusashanda mune ramangwana.
Uyezve, kuongororwa kwehunyanzvi dzimwe nguva kunogona kuve zvichienderana nedudziro. Zvakasiyana traders inogona kuongorora chati imwe chete uye kuuya nemhedziso dzakasiyana. Izvi zvinonyanya kuitika kana zvasvika pakuziva mapatani, ayo anogona kazhinji kuve ehunyanzvi kupfuura sainzi.
Pakupedzisira, zvakakodzera kucherechedza izvozvo hazvisi zvese zvakachengetedzeka zvakakodzera kuongororwa kwehunyanzvi. Semuenzaniso, securities ine yakaderera liquidity kana kusimba kwepamusoro kunogona kusaratidza maitiro anowirirana ayo kuongororwa kwehunyanzvi kunoda kuziva.
Muchidimbu, nepo ongororo yehunyanzvi inogona kuve chishandiso chakakosha mu trader's arsenal, haifanirwe kushandiswa iri yega. Yagara iri pfungwa yakanaka kuzadzisa ongororo yako yehunyanzvi nedzimwe nzira dzekuongorora uye kugara uchichinjika pamberi pekuchinja kwemamiriro emusika.
2. Zvishandiso Zvinokosha muTechnical Analysis
Charting software ndiyo musana wekuongorora kwehunyanzvi, ichipa chiratidzo chinomiririra chekufamba kwemitengo nekufamba kwenguva. Aya maturusi esoftware anotendera iwe kudhirowa trendline, zano Fibonacci mazinga, uye wedzera plethora ye technical indicators senge mavhareji ekufamba, Bollinger Bands, uye Relative Strength Index (RSI) kumachati ako.
The chati chemwenje inodiwa pakati traders, sezvo ichipa ruzivo rwakawanda pane iri nyore mutsara chati. Chigadziko chemwenje chega chega chinomiririra nguva yakatarwa uye chinoratidza kuvhura, kuvhara, kukwira, uye mitengo yakaderera panguva iyoyo. Mutumbi wechigadziko chemwenje unoratidza mitengo yekuvhura nekuvhara, nepo wick (kana mumvuri) inoratidza mitengo yakakwira uye yakaderera. Makenduru mapatani, senge Doji kana Hammer, anogona kupa traders ruzivo rwakakosha mumanzwiro emusika.
Technical indicators zviverengero zvemasvomhu zvinoenderana nemutengo, vhoriyamu, kana mhindu yakavhurika. Izvi zviratidzo zvinogona kubatsira traders tsvaga mafambiro, tarisa overbought kana oversold mamiriro, uye kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo yeramangwana. Zvimwe zvinozivikanwa zvehunyanzvi zviratidzo zvinosanganisira Kufambira Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Stochastic Oscillator, uye On-Balance Volume (OBV).
vhorumu chimwe chinhu chakakosha mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi. Inomiririra nhamba yezvikamu kana zvibvumirano traded muchengetedzo kana musika panguva yakatarwa. Vhoriyamu inowanzoshandiswa pamwe chete nekuongorora kwemitengo kusimbisa mafambiro, mapatani, uye maumbirwo echati. High vhoriyamu kazhinji anoratidza simba investor kufarira uye anogona kuva chiratidzo kutanga muitiro itsva.
Kudzokorora inzira inoshandiswa kuyedza nzira dzekutengesa dzichipesana nenhoroondo data kuti vaone kuti vangadai vakaita sei. Izvi zvinogona kubatsira traders vanonatsiridza marongero avo uye voona zvingangokanganisa vasati vaisa mari chaiyo panjodzi. Mazhinji machati software mapuratifomu anosanganisira backtesting kugona, kukubvumira kuti utevedzere trades uye ongorora maitiro avo nekufamba kwenguva.
Rangarira, nepo maturusi aya achigona kubatsira zvakanyanya, haana kupusa. Iko hakuna 'chitsvene grail' mukutengesa, uye ongororo yehunyanzvi inofanira kushandiswa pamwe chete nekuongorora kwakakosha uye zvine hungwaru hwekutarisira njodzi.
2.1. Price Charts
Mitengo yemitengo ndiwo hupenyu hwekuongorora kwehunyanzvi. Ivo zvinomiririra zvinomiririra ebbs uye kuyerera kwemitengo yemusika pane yakatarwa nguva. Muchidimbu, chati yemutengo i trader's roadmap, ichipa nhoroondo yekuti chengetedzo yave papi, ichivagonesa kuita fungidziro dzakadzidziswa nezve kwainogona kunanga.
Kune akati wandei marudzi emachati emitengo, asi matatu anonyanya kushandiswa ndeaya machati emitsetse, mabhawa machati, uye machati emwenje. Chimwe nechimwe cheizvi chinopa maonero akasiyana-siyana pamabasa emusika, achibvumira traders kuona mafambiro emitengo kubva kumakona akasiyana.
Line charts ndiyo nzira yakapfava yemachati emitengo, kuronga mitengo yekuvhara pamusoro penguva yakatarwa. Vanopa maonero akachena, akatwasuka ematengo emitengo asi vasina ruzivo rwakadzama runowanikwa mune mamwe marudzi emachati.
Bar chart, inozivikanwawo seOHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) machati, inopa mamwe mashoko kupfuura machati emitsetse. Bhari imwe neimwe inomiririra nguva imwe chete (sezuva kana awa), uye kumusoro uye pasi pebhari inoratidza mitengo yepamusoro uye yakaderera panguva iyoyo, zvichiteerana. Mutsetse wekuruboshwe wakachinjika unoratidza mutengo wekuvhura, nepo wekurudyi uchiratidza mutengo wekuvhara.
Chigadziko chemaroto akafanana nemabhawa machati asi anopa mamwe ruzivo. Vanoshandisa 'kenduru' kumiririra huwandu pakati pemitengo yakavhurika uye yakavharika, uye 'wicks' kuratidza mitengo yakakwira uye yakaderera. Kenduru yakazadzwa (kana ine ruvara) inoratidza kuti kuvharika kwaive kwakadzikira pane kuvhurika (bearish nguva), nepo kenduru isina chinhu (kana kuti ine ruvara rwakasiyana) inoratidza kuti kuvharika kwaive kwakakwirira kudarika kuvhurika (bullish nguva).
Mastering mutengo machati inhanho yekutanga mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi. Ndiwo canvas panoshandiswa mamwe ese ehunyanzvi zviratidzo uye maturusi, zvichivaita chishandiso chakakosha mu trader's arsenal. Paunenge uchidzamisa mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi, unowana nzira dzakawanda dzekududzira nekushandisa machati aya, ichipa ruzivo rwakakosha runogona kubatsira kutungamira sarudzo dzako dzekutengesa.
2.2. Trend Lines
Munzvimbo yekuongorora kwehunyanzvi, maitiro maficha zvakakosha zvikuru. Iwo maturusi ari nyore asi ane simba anoshandiswa ne traders kuona uye kutevedzera gwara remusika kana "maitiro". Chaizvoizvo, mutsara wemaitiro mutsara wakatwasuka unobatanidza maviri kana anopfuura mapoinzi emitengo uye wobva wapinda mune ramangwana kuita semutsara wekutsigira kana kuramba.
Kune mhando mbiri dzematrend line - uptrend uye downtrend. Mutsetse wekumusoro une mutsetse wakanaka uye unodhonzwa pazasi penzvimbo dzinozivikanwa dzekutsigira (mipata). Mutsara uyu unomiririra nhanho iyo kutenga mubereko kwakasimba zvakakwana kukunda kudzvanywa kwekutengesa uye nekudaro, kutyaira mutengo wakakwira. Kusiyana neizvi, mutsara wepasi, wakadhonzwa nechepamusoro penzvimbo dzino zivikanwa zviri nyore (peaks), une mutsetse wakashata uye unoratidza nhanho iyo kutengesa kudzvanywa kunokunda kutenga mhindu, zvichiita kuti mutengo udzike.
Kuziva mafambiro mitsara unyanzvi hwakangofanana nesainzi. Zvinoda kudzidzira uye kushivirira. Paunenge uchidhirowa mitsara yemaitiro, zvakakosha kuti urangarire kuti mitsetse yakanyatsojeka ndeyeiyo yakabatwa nemutengo kanokwana katatu pasina kutyorwa. Nekudaro, mutsara wemaitiro unova usisashande kana uchinge watyoka - chiitiko chinowanzo ratidza shanduko inogona kuitika munzira yemusika.
Simba remitsara yemaitiro riri mukukwanisa kwavo kupa zviratidzo zvinoonekwa zvemutengo wekuita. Vanobvumira traders kutarisira zvingangoitika mutengo kubuda kana kudzoserwa uye kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo zvinoenderana. Pamusoro pezvo, mitsetse yemaitiro inogona zvakare kusanganiswa nemamwe maturusi ekuongorora tekinoroji, senge kushamba-shanduka or oscillators, kuwedzera kushanda kwavo.
Muchidimbu, mitsetse yemafambiro ndeye trader's nzira yekufambisa misika isingachinjiki. Ivo vanopa ruzivo rwakakosha mune zvemusika maitiro uye zvinogona kudzoserwa mapoinzi, kubatsira traders kuronga yavo trades uye kutonga njodzi zvinobudirira. Kunzwisisa mafambiro mitsara inyanzvi yakakosha kune chero trader kuvavarira kubudirira munyika ine simba yekutengeserana.
2.3. Kutsigira uye Resistance Levels
Munyika yekuongorora kwehunyanzvi, pfungwa shoma dzakakosha uye dzine simba se kutsigirwa uye kukwikwidza. Aya mamakisi akakosha, asingaonekwe neziso risina kudzidziswa, anogona kuita segedhi rekutengesa kune pundutso. Zvifungidzire sezvipingamupinyi zvisingaoneki zvinodzivisa mutengo weasset kusundirwa kune imwe nzira.
A support level inzvimbo yemutengo apo asset inomira kudonha nekuti kudiwa kunodarika kupihwa. Traders vanotarisira kutenga pamatanho aya, vachitarisira kuti mutengo udzoke kumashure. Ukuwo, a danho rekupokana inzvimbo yemutengo apo asset inowanzomira kukwira nekuti kuwanikwa kunodarika zvinodiwa. Traders vanotarisira kutengesa pamatanho aya, vachitarisira kuti mutengo udzoke pasi.
Asi unoziva sei aya mazinga akakosha? Zviri nyore kupfuura zvaungafunga. Tsigiro uye nhanho dzekupokana dzinowanzo zivikanwa nekuona mapoinzi emitengo pane chati apo mutengo wakambodzokera kumashure mushure mekurova iwo. Zvisinei, zvakakosha kuyeuka kuti aya mazinga haana kuiswa mumatombo. Iwo mazoni uko mutengo une mukana wepamusoro wekudzokera kumashure, asi hapana vimbiso.
Mashiripiti chaiwo anoitika kana a tsigiro nhanho inova nhanho yekupikisa kana zvakasiyana. Kana mutengo weasset ukadarika nedanho retsigiro, iyo nhanho inogona kuve kushorwa kutsva. Sezvineiwo, kana mutengo ukatyora nedanho rekupikisa, rinogona kuve rutsigiro rutsva. Chiitiko ichi, chinozivikanwa sea 'reversal', ipfungwa ine simba mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi iyo inogona kupa inonzwisisika mikana yekutengesa.
Kubatanidza tsigiro uye nhanho dzekuramba mune yako yekutengesa nzira inogona kukubatsira iwe kuti unzwisise musika zvirinani, kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo rwekutengesa, uye pakupedzisira, kuvandudza mashandiro ako ekutengesa. Asi rangarira, semazano ese ekutengesa, zvakakosha kuti udzidzire uye nekunatsa hunyanzvi hwako nguva nenguva. Misika inogara ichichinja, uye zvakashanda nezuro zvinogona kusashanda mangwana. Saka gara wakasununguka, chengeta kudzidza, uye kutengeserana kwako ngakurambe kuchibatsira.
3. Basa reZviratidzo muTechnical Analysis
Munyika yekutengesa, kushandiswa kwezviratidzo kunoita basa rakakosha mu zvekushandisa ongororo. Aya masvomhu ekuverenga, ayo anobva pamutengo, vhoriyamu, kana mubereko wakavhurika wechengetedzo kana kondirakiti, inoshanda sebhekoni, inotungamira. traders kuburikidza nemvura dzinowanzova dzakaoma dzemusika. Zviratidzo zvinogona kushandiswa kugadzira masaini ekupinda nekubuda, achipa yakarongeka nzira yekusvika pakutengesa.
zviratidzi inogona kukamurwa zvakanyanya muzvikamu zviviri: kutungamira uye kusakara. Zviratidzo zvinotungamira ndeaya anofungidzirwa kufanotaura mafambiro ematengo emangwana, achipa masaini kusati kwachinja mutengo. Iwo anowanzo shandiswa kugadzira kutenga uye kutengesa masaini pamberi pekufamba kwemusika. Mienzaniso yezviratidzo zvinotungamirira zvinosanganisira Relative Strength Index (RSI) uye Stochastic Oscillator.
Pane rimwe divi, lagging zviratidzo tevera mafambisirwo emitengo uye anowanzo shandiswa kusimbisa mafambiro uye mafambiro ekuchinja. Iwo anonyanya kushanda kana misika iri kufamba uye inopa masaini mushure mekunge maitiro atanga. Kufamba maavhareji uye iyo MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) mienzaniso yakajairika yeakarebesa zviratidzo.
Kunyange zviratidzo zvichigona kubatsira zvakanyanya, zvakakosha kuti usangovimba nazvo chete. Dzinofanirwa kushandiswa pamwe chete nemamwe maturusi uye mazano mukati mekuongorora kwehunyanzvi. Izvi zvinosanganisira kunzwisisa machati mapatani, mafambiro mitsara, uye rutsigiro uye nhanho dzekupokana. Rangarira, hapana chiratidzo chimwe chinopa mhinduro dzese. Chinokosha ndechekutsvaga musanganiswa unoshanda zvakakunakira iwe uye yako yekutengesa zano.
Chimwe chezvinhu zvinonyanya kukosha kuyeuka ndechekuti zviratidzo hazvisi zvisizvo. Iwo maturusi anogona kukubatsira kuita sarudzo dzakadzidziswa, asi haisi vimbiso yekubudirira. Izvo zvakakosha kusanganisa kushandisa kwako zviratidzo nekunzwisisa kwakasimba kwemusika, yakanyatso fungwa. chirongwa chebhizimisi, uye nzira yakarongeka yekugadzirisa njodzi.
Naizvozvo, zviratidzi chikamu chakakosha chekuongorora kwehunyanzvi. Vanogona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha mumafambiro emusika uye mikana inogona kutengesa. Nekudaro, sechishandiso chero chipi zvacho, zvinongoshanda senge munhu ari kuzvishandisa. Kunzwisisa masimba avo uye zvisingakwanisi ndiyo kiyi yekushandisa zviratidzo zvinobudirira mune yako yekutengesa zano.
3.1. Kufamba Avhareji
Kufamba zvishoma ibwe rekona rekuongorora kwehunyanzvi, kupa traders ine nzira yekuona yekutevera mafambiro emusika pane yakatarwa nguva yenguva. Ichi chishandiso, muchidimbu, chinopa mavhareji kunze kwekuchinja kwemusika kuratidza kutungamira kwayo zvakajeka. Mhando mbiri dzinonyanyozivikanwa ndidzo Kufambisa Nyore Avhareji (SMA) uye Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
The SMA inoverengerwa nekuwedzera mitengo yekuvhara yechibatiso yenhamba yakati yenguva (semazuva kana mavhiki), wogovanisa huwandu uhu nenhamba yenguva. Chigumisiro mutsara wakatsetseka uyo traders inogona kuenzaniswa nemutengo wazvino wekuchengetedza kuti uongorore kusimba kwayo. The EMA, kune rumwe rutivi, inopa humwe huremu kumatengo achangopfuura. Izvi zvinoita kuti iwedzere kuterera kune ruzivo rutsva, iyo inogona kunyanya kubatsira mumisika isina kusimba.
Kufamba zvishoma inogonawo kushandiswa kugadzira zviratidzo zvekutengesa. Kana mutengo ukayambuka pamusoro peavhareji inofamba, inogona kuratidza nguva yakanaka yekutenga, sezvo inoratidza kukwira kumusoro. Sezvineiwo, kana mutengo uchiyambuka pazasi peavhareji inofamba, inogona kuratidza nguva yakanaka yekutengesa, sezvo inoratidza kuderera. Traders inogona zvakare kushandisa maviri anofamba maavhareji ehurefu hwakasiyana uye tarisa kana iyo mupfupi ikayambuka iyo yakareba, nzira inozivikanwa se kufambisa avhareji crossover.
Zvisinei, apo kushamba-shanduka mudziyo unokosha, hadzisi fuza. Iwo akavakirwa pane yapfuura data uye anogona kusarira kumashure kwechokwadi-nguva shanduko yemusika. Naizvozvo, haifanirwe kushandiswa mukuzvimiririra, asi pamwe chete nemamwe maturusi ekuongorora tekinoroji uye ongororo yakakosha. Izvi zvichabatsira traders kuita zvisarudzo zvine ruzivo zvakanyanya zvinogoneka.
Rangarira, kiyi yekubudirira kwekutengeserana hakusi kuvimba nechishandiso chimwe chete kana zano, asi kushandisa musanganiswa wehunyanzvi hunoshanda pamwe chete kukubatsira kunzwisisa maitiro emusika uye kufanotaura nezve mafambiro ayo emangwana.
3.2. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Kunzwisisa Relative Strength Index (RSI) inogona kuva shanduko yemutambo traders kupinda munyika yekuongorora tekinoroji. Ichi chishandiso chine simba, chakagadziridzwa naJ Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator inoyera kukurumidza uye shanduko yemitengo yekufamba. Inoshanda mukati mechiyero che 0 kusvika ku100 uye inonyanya kushandiswa kuona yakawandisa kana kutengeswa mamiriro emusika.
Kuzviisa zvakapusa, RSI inoverengera kusimba kwechimwe chiridzwa chekutengesa. Inoita izvi nekuenzanisa hukuru hwezvayakawana munguva pfupi yapfuura nehukuru hwekurasikirwa kwayo munguva pfupi yapfuura. Mhedzisiro ndeyekukosha kunopa traders nekunzwisisa kwesimba razvino remusika kana kushaya simba zvichibva pamitengo ichangoburwa yekuvhara.
Kududzira kukosha kweRSI yakatwasuka. Kukosha kwe70 kana pamusoro kunoratidza kuti musika wakatengwa zvakanyanya, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kunge yakawandisa uye nekuda kwekugadzirisa mutengo kana kudzoreredzwa kwemutengo webearish. Sezvineiwo, iyo RSI kukosha kwemakumi matatu kana pazasi inosaina musika wakawandisa, zvichireva kuti inogona kusakosheswa uye yakaibva pamutengo unokwira kana kudzoreredzwa kwemutengo.
Imwe yenzira dzinoshanda dzekushandisa RSI ndeyekutsvaga misiyano. Izvi zvinoitika kana mutengo wekuchengetedza uchifamba munzira imwe (kumusoro kana pasi), asi iyo RSI iri kufamba ichienda kune rimwe divi. Misiyano pakati pemutengo neRSI inogona kuratidza zvinogona kudzoserwa, kupa traders mukana wekupinda kana kubuda mumusika pamberi pemhomho.
RSI haina kukanganisa, zvisinei. Kufanana nezviratidzo zvese zvehunyanzvi, inofanirwa kushandiswa pamwe chete nemamwe maturusi uye nzira. Traders inofanirwawo kuziva nezve 'chiratidzo chenhema' musungo, uko RSI inogona kuratidza shanduko yemaitiro isingaite. Ichi ndicho chikonzero zvakakosha kushandisa RSI sechikamu cheyakafara, yakanyatso kutenderera nzira yekutengesa.
Muchidimbu, iyo Relative Strength Index chiratidzo chinogoneka uye chinoshandiswa zvakanyanya chinopa ruzivo rwakakosha mumamiriro emusika. Nekunzwisisa kududzira nekushandisa RSI, traders inogona kusimudzira yavo tekinoroji yekuongorora maturusi uye kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo rwekutengesa. Ndihwo hunyanzvi hunogona kunyatso kukupa mupendero munyika inomhanya-mhanya yekutengeserana.
3.3. Moving Avhareji Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The Kufambisa Avhareji Convergence Divergence (MACD) chishandiso chakakosha munyika yekuongorora kwehunyanzvi, chakagadzirirwa kupa traders nekunzwisisa kwakazara kwemaitiro emusika. Inoshanda pamusimboti wekuziva hukama pakati pemavhareji maviri anofamba emutengo wechengetedzo. Iyo MACD inoverengerwa nekubvisa iyo 26-nguva Exponential Moving Average (EMA) kubva ku12-nguva EMA. Mhedzisiro ndeye MACD mutsara.
Mutsara wechiratidzo, inova 9-zuva EMA yeMACD, inobva yarongwa pamusoro peMACD mutsara, ichiita sechinhu chinokonzera kutenga nekutengesa zviratidzo. Kana iyo MACD ichiyambuka pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo, inoratidza kushambadzira (kutenga) chiratidzo, uye kana ichiyambuka pazasi, inoratidza chiratidzo chebearish (kutengesa).
Chii chinoita kuti MACD kunyanya kukosha ndiko kushandiswa kwayo kwakasiyana-siyana. Izvo hazvibatsiri chete pakuziva mikana yekutenga nekutengesa asiwo yekuratidza zvinogona kuitika pamusika. Kana iyo MACD uye mutsara wechiratidzo unopesana kubva kune mumwe, inozivikanwa sekusiyana. Kusiyana kunogona kuve chiratidzo chakasimba chekuti maitiro azvino ave kuda kudzosera kumashure, achipa traders nemukana wekufungidzira uye kushandisa mari pakuchinja kwemusika.
Uyezve, the MACD inoshandawo pakuona zvakatengwa zvakanyanya uye zvakawandisa. Kana iyo MACD mutsara ichibva pamutsara we zero, inoratidza kuti chengetedzo yakawandisa, uye kana ichienda kumutsara we zero, inoratidza kuti chengetedzo inotengeswa.
Muchidimbu, iyo MACD chishandiso chakawanda, chinopa traders nzira yakazara yekuongororwa kwemusika. Icho chishandiso chakakosha mubhokisi rekushandisa chero trader, anotanga kana ane ruzivo, achitsvaga kufamba nenyika ine simba uye isingafungidzike yekutengeserana.
3.4. Bollinger Zvikwata
Munyika yekuongorora tekinoroji, chishandiso chimwe chinomira pachena nekugona kwaro kwakasarudzika kupa mazinga ane simba ekutsigirwa uye kuramba: Bollinger Bands. Yakagadzirwa naJohn Bollinger mu1980s, iyi tekinoroji chiratidzo ine yakareruka inofamba pakati (yepakati bhendi) ine maviri ekunze mabhendi, akaverengerwa zvichienderana nekutsauka kwakajairwa. Iko kutsauka kwakajairwa chiyero chekusagadzikana, uye nekudaro, mabhendi aya anowedzera munguva dzekusagadzikana kwakanyanya uye kondirakiti panguva yakaderera kushanduka.
Runako rwe Bollinger Bands iri mukusiyana-siyana kwavo. Iwo anogona kushandiswa mune dzakasiyana siyana nzira dzekutengesa kuona ekupinda nekubuda mapoinzi, geji Misika kusagadzikana, uye unzwisise zvingango chinja maitiro. Kana mutengo unobata bhendi yepamusoro, inogona kuonekwa seyakanyanyisa, ichiratidza mukana unogona kutengesa. Ukuwo, kana mutengo unobata bhendi yakaderera, inogona kutariswa seyakatengeswa zvakanyanya, zvichipa mukana wekutenga mukana.
Imwe nzira yakakurumbira inosanganisira Bollinger Bands ndiyo 'Bollinger Bounce'. Mumusika unosiyana, mitengo inowanzokwira pakati pemabhendi epamusoro neakadzika, ichipa mikana yakawanda yekutengesa. Imwe nzira ndeye 'Bollinger Squeeze', uko chibvumirano mumabhendi chinogona kutangira mutengo wakakura.
Nekudaro, senge chero chishandiso chekutengesa, Bollinger Bands hadzisi dzisingakwanisi uye dzinofanira kushandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo kuwedzera mukana wekubudirira trades. Somuenzaniso, kuvabatanidza ne a kukurumidza chiratidzo kufanana neRelative Strength Index (RSI) inogona kubatsira kusimbisa overbought kana oversold mamiriro.
Pakupedzisira, kiyi yekubudirira kushandisa Bollinger Bands iri mukunzwisisa zvavasingakwanisi uye nekusimba kwavo, uye nekuzvibatanidza muhurongwa hwekutengesa hwakakwana. Kana uri mutsva trader kana nyanzvi ine ruzivo, mabhendi aya anogona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha mumamiriro emusika uye mikana yekutengeserana.
4. Kugadzira Kutengesa Strategy neTechnical Analysis
Technical ongororo hunyanzvi hwese trader anofanira kugona. Ndiyo nzira inobatsira traders kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo yeramangwana remasheya, zvigadzirwa, uye zvimwe zviridzwa zvemari. Mhedzisiro yenzira iyi iri mukutenda kuti mafambiro emitengo enhoroondo anogona kupa ruzivo nezve mafambiro emitengo yeramangwana.
Chimwe chinhu chakakosha chekuongorora kwehunyanzvi ndeye kugadzira nzira yekutengesa. Ichi chirongwa chinodonongodza rinhi uye sei a trader ichapinda nekubuda trades, zvinhu zvipi trade, uye nzira yekugadzirisa njodzi. Iro nzira inogona kutungamirira traders kuburikidza nenyika inowanzoita mhirizhonga uye isingafungidzike yekutengeserana.
Chati mapatani chishandiso chakakosha muhunyanzvi trader's toolkit. Aya ndiwo maitiro anoonekwa mumachati emitengo uye anogona kuratidza zvinogona kuitika mune ramangwana mutengo wekufamba. Maitiro akajairika anosanganisira musoro nemapfudzi, kumusoro kaviri uye zasi, uye katatu. Kunzwisisa maitiro aya kunogona kupa traders ine ruzivo rwakakosha mumusika psychology uye inogona kudzoserwa mutengo.
Technical indicators, chimwe chinhu chakakosha chekuongorora kwehunyanzvi, kuverenga kwemasvomhu kunoenderana nemutengo, vhoriyamu, kana kufarira kwakasununguka. Izvi zviratidzo zvinogona kubatsira traders cherechedza mafambiro, kushanduka, uye mamwe mamiriro emusika. Mamwe eanonyanyozivikanwa ehunyanzvi zviratidzo anosanganisira Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), uye Bollinger Bands.
Risk management chikamu chakakosha chechero nzira yekutengesa. Zvinosanganisira kuisa kurega-kurasika mirairo yekudzikamisa kurasikirwa kungangoitika, kusiyanisa portfolio yako kuparadzira njodzi, uye kusamboisa njodzi inodarika chikamu chidiki chemari yako yekutengesa pane imwechete. trade.
Rangarira, hapana nzira yekutengesa isingaite. Izvo zvakakosha kuti urambe uchiyedza, kunatsa, uye kugadzirisa zano rako zvichienderana nekuchinja kwemamiriro emusika uye kuita kwako kwekutengesa. Yakanyatsogadzirwa nzira yekutengesa, yakasanganiswa nekunzwisisa kwakasimba kwehunyanzvi hwekuongorora, inogona kuwedzera zvakanyanya mikana yako yekubudirira kwekutengesa.
4.1. Kuziva Mikana Yekutengesa
Kuziva mikana yekutengesa chinhu chakakosha chekuongorora kwehunyanzvi iyo yega yega trader, kunyanya vanotanga, vanofanirwa kugona. Izvo zvese zvinotanga nekunzwisisa maitiro emusika uye mapatani. Aya maitiro, akadai musoro nemapendekete, misoro miviri, uye triangles, inogona kupa mazano pamusoro pezvinokwanisika kufamba kwemutengo mune ramangwana.
Candlestick patterns chimwe chishandiso chine simba mune yako yekutengesa arsenal. Vanogona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha mumusika manzwiro, zvichikubvumidza iwe kufanotaura zvingango dzokera kumashure kana kuenderera mberi. Somuenzaniso, a kuwedzera kunowedzera pateni inogona kuratidza kukwira kwemutengo kunokwanisika, ichikupa iwe mukana wekutenga.
vhorumu chimwe chiratidzo chakakosha chekutarisa. Kuwedzera kamwe kamwe kwehuwandu hwekutengesa kunogona kuratidza kufarira kwakasimba kwemusika mune imwe pfuma. Izvi zvinogona kazhinji kutangira kufamba kwakakosha kwemitengo, zvichikupa iwe mukana wekusvetukira mukati maitiro asati anyatsoita.
Kufamba zvishoma inogona zvakare kukubatsira kuona mikana yekutengesa. Kana mutengo uchiyambuka avhareji inofamba, inogona kuratidza shanduko yemaitiro. Semuyenzaniso, kana mutengo ukayambuka pamusoro peavhareji inofamba, inogona kuratidza kukwidziridzwa kutsva, ichipa mukana wekutenga ungangoita.
Chekupedzisira, usakanganwa nezvazvo technical indicators seRSI, MACD, uye Stochastic Oscillator. Izvi zvinogona kukubatsira kuona yakawandisa kana kutengeswa kwemamiriro ezvinhu, ichiratidza mukana wekupinda kana kubuda.
Rangarira, nepo maturusi aya achigona kubatsira zvakanyanya, haana kupusa. Gara uzvishandise pamwe chete neinofungwa-yakanyatso kutengeserana chirongwa uye njodzi yekugadzirisa njodzi.
4.2. Risk Management muTechnical Analysis
Risk management chinhu chakakosha chechero nzira yekutengesa, uye kunyanya zvakadaro munzvimbo yekuongorora kwehunyanzvi. Ndihwo hunyanzvi hwekudzikisira kurasikirwa kunogona kuitika uku uchiwedzera pundutso, chiitiko chakapfava chekuenzanisa chinoda zvese hunyanzvi uye ruzivo.
Muchirevo chekuongorora kwehunyanzvi, manejimendi enjodzi anosanganisira kunyatsoongorora mafambiro emusika, maitiro emitengo, uye imwe data yakakodzera. Traders vanoshandisa ruzivo urwu kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo nezve nguva yekupinda nekubuda trades, nokudaro vachigadzirisa kutarisana kwavo nenjodzi.
Imwe nzira yakajairika yekugadzirisa njodzi mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi ndiko kushandiswa kwe kumira-kurasikirwa mirairo. Aya ndiwo maodha akaiswa padanho remitengo iro, kana rasvika, rinokonzera otomatiki kutengesa-kure trader's holdings. Izvi zvinogona kubatsira kudzivirira kurasikirwa kukuru kana pakaitika kuderera kwemusika kamwe kamwe.
Chimwe chinhu chakakosha chekuchengetedza njodzi ndeye diversification. Nekuparadzira mari yavo muzvinhu zvakasiyana siyana, traders inogona kuderedza kukanganiswa kwekuita kwese kwese kwekudyara pane yavo yese portfolio. Izvi zvinogona kunyanya kubatsira mumisika isina kusimba, uko kushanduka kwemitengo kwakapinza kunogona kutungamirira mukurasikirwa kukuru.
Nekudaro, zvakakosha kuziva kuti nepo nzira idzi dzinogona kubatsira kubata njodzi, hadzigone kuibvisa zvachose. Kutengeserana kwese kunosanganisira imwe nhanho yenjodzi, uye yakakosha kune traders kuti unzwisise uye ugadzikane neizvi usati wanyura munyika yekuongorora kwehunyanzvi.
Chinzvimbo saizi chimwe chinhu chinokosha pakutarisira njodzi. Inoreva huwandu hwemari yekudyara yakagoverwa kune yega yega trade. Nokunyatsoona ukuru hwechimwe nechimwe trade, traders inogona kuve nechokwadi kuti haina kuwedzeredzwa kune chero mari imwe chete.
Risk manejimendi mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi haisi nzira imwechete-inokodzera-yese. Mumwe nomumwe trader ichave neyavo yakasarudzika njodzi yekushivirira uye zvinangwa zvekutengesa, izvo zvinozopesvedzera maitiro avo ekugadzirisa njodzi. Naizvozvo, zvakakosha kuti ugadzire hurongwa hwekutarisira njodzi hunoenderana nezvinangwa zvako zvekutengesa uye kushivirira njodzi.
Pakupedzisira, kutonga kwengozi kunobudirira kunogona kuita mutsauko pakati pekubudirira nekukundikana mukutengesa. Hazvisi zvekudzivisa njodzi zvachose, asi pane kuzvinzwisisa, kuzvigadzirisa, uye kuita kuti ishande kune yako ad.vantage.
4.3. Kukosha Kwekusachinja-chinja
Munyika yekuongorora kwehunyanzvi, munhu haagone kurerutsa simba rekuenderana. Hazvisi zvekungotsvaga zviratidzo zvakanaka kana mapatani emachati; ndezvekuashandisa nguva dzose. Somuenzaniso, kana ukasarudza kushandisa Relative Strength Index (RSI) sechikamu chakakosha chehurongwa hwako, zvakakosha kuti uishandise nguva dzose. Izvi zvinoreva kuzvishandisa kune wese trade, kwete chete pazvinenge zvakakodzera.
Consistency inoshandawo kune yako yese yekutengesa chirongwa. Unofanira kuva a mitemo yakajeka nguva yekupinda nekubuda a trade, yakawanda sei kuisa pangozi, uye nguva yekutora purofiti kana kuderedza kurasikirwa. Iyi mitemo inofanira kuteverwa kune tsamba, nguva dzose. Zvinogona kuyedza kutsauka kubva pachirongwa kana a trade hazvisi kufamba sezvanga zvichitarisirwa, asi iyi inowanzova nzira yenjodzi.
Mukuwedzera, kuwirirana mune yako kuongorora uye kuita sarudzo ndiyo kiyi. Izvi zvinoreva kusasvetuka kubva kune rimwe zano kuenda kune rimwe zvichienderana neazvino maitiro kana matipi anopisa. Pane kudaro, namatira kune yakaratidza nzira uye inatsiridza nekufamba kwenguva. Izvi zvinokubatsira iwe kuita zvimwe zvinangwa, zvine musoro sarudzo uye kudzivirira kutengeserana kwepfungwa.
Kunyangwe iyo yakanakisa nzira yekutengesa haishande kana iwe usingawirirane mukuishandisa. Saka, kana uri mutsva trader uchangotanga kana pro ane nguva ari kutsvaga kugadzirisa, rangarira: kuwirirana ndicho chinhu chinokosha. Haisi iyo inonyanya kunakidza yekutengeserana, asi ndiyo inogona kuita kana kuputsa budiriro yako.
