1. Kunzwisisa Mavhareji Anofamba
Munyika yekutengesa, Moving Averages (MA) zvishandiso izvo traders haigone kufuratira. Iwo anoshandiswa kuona anogona kutenga uye kutengesa masaini, achipa mutsara wakatsetseka kunhoroondo yemutengo westock uye kuratidza gwara remaitiro.
Kune marudzi maviri makuru eMoving Avhareji: Kufambisa Nyore Avhareji (SMA) uye Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The SMA inoverengwa nekutora masvomhu zvinoreva seti yemitengo pamazuva akati wandei. Semuyenzaniso, kuti uverenge avhareji yemazuva gumi, unogona kuwedzera mitengo yekuvhara kubva pamazuva gumi apfuura wogovanisa negumi. EMA, kune rumwe rutivi, inonyanya kuoma sezvo ichiisa huremu hukuru pane ichangoburwa data points. Kunyanya kukosha kwekushandisa EMA ndeyekuti inokurumidza kukurumidza kuchinja mutengo kupfuura iyo SMA.
Zvino, ngatitaure nezvemazano. Kufambisa Avhareji inogona kushandiswa sechinhu chakamira, asi ivo zvakare vanowanzoshandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo kugadzira yakasimba yekutengesa zano. Imwe yenzira dzakajairika ndeye Kufambisa Avhareji Crossover. Iri zano rinosanganisira kushandisa maavhareji maviri anofamba: imwe ine nguva pfupi uye imwe ine nguva refu. Pfungwa yekutanga ndeyekuti kana iyo pfupi-yenguva avhareji inoyambuka pamusoro peavhareji yenguva refu, chiratidzo chekutenga, uye kana ichiyambuka pazasi, chiratidzo chekutengesa.
Nekudaro, senge ese maturusi ekutengesa, Moving Avhareji haina benzi uye inogona kuburitsa masaini enhema. Traders inofanirwa kuziva nezve ngozi of “zvikwapuro” - kukurumidza kuchinja kunogona kutungamirira kune zviratidzo zvenhema. Izvi zvinowanzoitika mumusika usingachinji kana mitengo ichitenderera ichienda mberi. Traders inofanirawo kuziva kuti Moving Averages inogona kusashanda zvinobudirira mumusika-wakasungwa, uko mitengo inokwira mukati mechikamu chakamanikana.
Kunyangwe izvi zvingangoitika zvikanganiso, Moving Avhareji inoramba iri chinhu chikuru mune chero trader's toolkit. Vanopa ruzivo rwakakosha mumaitiro emusika uye zvinogona kuchinjika, zvichivaita chikamu chakakosha chekubudirira zvokutengeserana nzira.
1.1. Tsanangudzo uye Basa
Munzvimbo yekutengeserana, pfungwa inomira sekona ndiyo Kufambira Average. Ichi chishandiso chenhamba inzira inoshandiswa kuongorora mapoinzi edata nekugadzira nhevedzano yeavhareji yezvikamu zvakasiyana zveseti yedata yakazara. Inonyanya kushandiswa mukuzivikanwa kwemaitiro, kugadzirisa kuchinjika kwenguva pfupi uye kuratidza maitiro enguva refu kana kutenderera.
Kune marudzi akati wandei ekufamba maavhareji, imwe neimwe iine maitiro ayo akasiyana uye maverengero. The Zviri Nyore Kufamba Avhareji (SMA) ndiyo mhando yakatwasuka, inoverengwa nekuwedzera mitengo yenhambo dzakati dzogovaniswa nenhamba yenhambo dzakadaro. The Exponential Kufambira Avhareji (EMA) yakanyanya kuoma, ichipa huremu hwakawanda kumitengo ichangoburwa kuita kuti iite zvinoenderana neruzivo rutsva. Pakupedzisira, the Kurema Kufamba Avhareji (WMA) inopa huremu hwakananga kune imwe neimwe data point zvichienderana nezera rayo, ine data razvino rakapihwa huremu hukuru.
Kana zvasvika kune mazano, kufamba kwepakati kunogona kuva a trader's best friend. Iwo anogona kushandiswa kuona anogona kutenga uye kutengesa masiginecha, kuona tsigiro uye nhanho dzekupokana, kana kuona inogona kudzoserwa pamusika. Semuenzaniso, kana mutengo ukayambuka pamusoro peavhareji yayo inofamba, inogona kutariswa sechiratidzo chebullish, uye zvinopesana.
Nekudaro, sechishandiso chero chipi zvacho, maavhareji ekufambisa haasi asina misungo yawo. Chikanganiso chimwe chete traders make irikuvimba zvakanyanya pakufamba maavhareji pasina kufunga zvimwe zvinhu. Izvi zvinogona kutungamirira kune zviratidzo zvenhema uye zvinogona kurasikirwa. Chimwe chikanganiso ndechekusarudza nguva isiriyo yeavhareji inofamba, izvo zvinogona kutungamira mukududzirwa zvisizvo kwemaitiro emusika.
Muchidimbu, kunzwisisa tsananguro uye basa rekufamba mavhareji, marudzi avo, marongero, uye zvikanganiso zvingangoitika zvinogona kuwedzera zvakanyanya kutengeserana kuita. Nekunyatso batanidza chishandiso ichi muhurongwa hwavo hwekutengesa, traders inogona kuwana muganho munyika inokwikwidza yekutengesa.
1.2. Mhando dzeKufamba Avhareji
Zviri Nyore Kufamba Avhareji (SMA) ndiyo yakanyanya kujeka mhando yeavhareji inofamba. Inoverenga mutengo wepakati pane imwe nhamba yenguva. Iyo SMA inopa huremu hwakaenzana kune ese data mapoinzi, ichiita icho chakavimbika chishandiso chekutora maitiro enguva refu. Nekudaro, inononoka kupindura kune ichangoburwa mutengo shanduko, inogona kuve disadvantage mumisika isina kugadzikana.
Exponential Kufambira Avhareji (EMA) inopa huremu hwakawanda kune data ichangoburwa, ichiita kuti iwedzere kuterera kune ruzivo rutsva. Hunhu uhu hunogona kubatsira mumisika inokurumidza, uko traders inofanirwa kuita nekukurumidza kune kuchinja kwemamiriro. Nekudaro, iyo EMA inogona zvakare kuve yakanyanya kutarisana nezviratidzo zvenhema, sezvo ichiita kune yega shanduko yemutengo, kunyangwe isingakoshi.
Kurema Kufamba Avhareji (WMA) imhando yeavhareji inofamba iyo inopa uremu hwakasiyana kune dzakasiyana data data zvichienderana nekukosha kwavo. Iwo achangoburwa data mapoinzi anopiwa huremu hwakawanda, nepo ekare data mapoinzi anopiwa huremu hushoma. Iyo WMA isarudzo yakanaka ye traders vanoda chiyero pakati pekupindura uye kugadzikana.
Smoothed Moving Avhareji (SMMA) ivhareji inofamba iyo inofunga nguva yakakura yedata, inogadzirisa kuchinja kwekuchinja uye kupa mufananidzo wakajeka wehuwandu hwese. Iyo SMMA hainyanyi kuterera kune pfupi-pfupi shanduko, ichiita sarudzo yakanaka kune traders vanoda imwe nzira inochengetedza.
Hull Moving Avhareji (HMA) imhando yeavhareji inofamba inovavarira kuderedza lag uchiwedzera kuterera. Iko kuverenga kwakaoma kunosanganisira kuremerwa kwekufamba maavhareji uye masikweya midzi, asi mhedzisiro mutsara wakatsetseka unonyatso kutevedzera mutengo chiito. Iyo HMA inosarudzwa ne traders vanoda masaini anokurumidza pasina kupira chokwadi.
Mhando yega yega yeavhareji inofamba ine simba uye kushaya simba, uye sarudzo inowanzoenderana neiyo trader's zano uye kushivirira njodzi. Kunzwisisa kusiyana uku kunogona kubatsira traders vanoita sarudzo dzine ruzivo uye zvinogona kuwedzera mikana yavo yekubudirira.
2. Matanho Achishandisa Kufamba Avhareji
Kutengeserana nemaavhareji anofamba inogona kuve inoshandura mutambo mune yako yekutengesa zano. Aya maavhareji, ayo anoronga mutengo unoreva chekuchengetedza pane yakatarwa nhamba yenguva, anogona kupa traders ine ruzivo rwakakosha mumafambiro emusika uye zvinogona kudzoserwa kumashure.
Imwe yeanonyanya kufarirwa nzira uchishandisa mafambiro avhareji ndeye crossover strategy. Izvi zvinosanganisira kuronga mavhareji maviri anofamba ehurefu hwakasiyana pachati yako, uye kana iyo ipfupi inofamba avhareji ikayambuka pamusoro peiyo yakareba, inowanzoonekwa sechiratidzo chebullish. Sezvineiwo, kana ipfupi inofamba avhareji yakayambuka pazasi peiyo yakareba, inowanzoonekwa seye bearish chiratidzo.
Imwe nzira ine simba ndeye mutengo crossover. Izvi zvinoitika kana mutengo wekuchengetedza ukayambuka pamusoro kana pazasi peavhareji inofamba, zvichiratidza mukana wekutenga kana kutengesa mikana. Semuyenzaniso, kana mutengo ukayambuka pamusoro peavhareji inofamba, inogona kuratidza maitiro ekukwira, ichipa mukana wekutenga ungangoita. Kune rumwe rutivi, kana mutengo ukayambuka pazasi peavhareji inofamba, inogona kuratidza kuderera kwemaitiro, zvichiratidza mukana wekutengesa unogona.
Multiple inofamba maavhareji inogona zvakare kushandiswa tandem kugadzira masaini. Semuyenzaniso, traders inogona kushandisa mavhareji matatu anofamba ehurefu hwakasiyana. Kana avhareji ipfupi inofamba iri pamusoro peavhareji inofamba, uye yepakati iri pamusoro pehurefu, inogona kunge iri chiratidzo chakasimba chebullish. Sezvineiwo, kana iyo ipfupi iri pazasi pepakati, uye yepakati iri pazasi peyakareba, inogona kuratidza yakasimba bearish chiratidzo.
Nekudaro, kunyangwe maavhareji ekufamba achigona kubatsira zvakanyanya, haasi asina kukanganisa. Dzimwe nguva vanogona kuburitsa zviratidzo zvenhema, kunyanya mumisika isina kusimba. Saka, zvakakosha kuti uzvishandise pamwe chete nezvimwe zvekushandisa ongororo zvishandiso uye kushandisa nguva dzose nzira dzekugadzirisa njodzi.
2.1. Trend Kutevera Strategies
Trend Kutevera Strategies ibwe rekona traders, ichipa nzira yakarongeka yekufambisa misika yemari. Aya mazano anobatsira pakufamba kwenguva refu kwemutengo wemusika, nechinangwa chekutora zvakawanikwa kuburikidza nekuongorora nzira yemaitiro.
Imwe nzira yakadaro inosanganisira kushandiswa kwe Moving Averages. Iyi nhamba yekuverenga inokwenenzvera data yemutengo, kugadzira mutsara uyo traders inogona kushandisa kunzwisisa mafambiro ekuita pane imwe nguva. Traders inowanzo shandisa maavhareji maviri anofamba: yenguva pfupi-yenguva yekuziva nzira yekukurumidza, uye yenguva refu-yekuyera kusimba kwemaitiro.
Yakareruka asi inoshanda maitiro ekutevera zano ndeye kufambisa avhareji crossover. Izvi zvinoitika kana avhareji yenguva pfupi inofamba ichiyambuka chiyero chekufamba kwenguva refu. Iyo crossover inodudzirwa sechiratidzo chekuti maitiro ari kushanduka. Kunyanya, chiratidzo chebullish chinopiwa kana avhareji yenguva pfupi yakayambuka pamusoro peavhareji yenguva refu, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kunge iri nguva yakafanira yekutenga. Sezvineiwo, chiratidzo chebearish chinopihwa kana avhareji yenguva pfupi yakayambuka pazasi peavhareji yenguva refu, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kunge iri nguva yakanaka yekutengesa.
Nekudaro, zvakakosha kuyeuka kuti kufambisa mavhareji uye mafambiro ekutevera nzira hakusi kupusa. Vanowanzoita zvikanganiso uye zviratidzo zvenhema. Semuenzaniso, shanduko yemutengo kamwe kamwe inogona kukonzera avhareji inofamba kuti spike kana kunyura, ichigadzira chiratidzo chenhema. Traders saka inofanirwa kushandisa nzira idzi pamwe chete nemamwe maturusi ekuongorora tekinoroji kusimbisa masaini uye kuderedza njodzi.
Uyezve, maavhareji anofamba ari lagging zviratidzo, zvichireva kuti vanoratidza mafambiro emitengo yapfuura. Havafanotaura mafambiro emitengo mune ramangwana asi vanogona kubatsira traders kuona mikana inogona. Sezvinei nechero nzira yekutengesa, zvakakosha kuti uite ongororo yakakwana uye kufunga nezve yakakura musika mamiriro usati waita sarudzo yekutengesa.
Zvisinei nenjodzi idzi dzinogona kuitika, maitiro ekutevera mazano ekushandisa mavhareji anoramba ari chishandiso chakakurumbira mu trader's arsenal, ichipa ruzivo rwakakosha mumisika maitiro uye mikana yekutengeserana inogona.
2.2. Reversal Trading Strategies
Reversal trading strategy ndiwo mufananidzo wekutamba pendulum swing yemusika. Vanotemerwa papfungwa yekuti chinokwira chinofanira kudzika, uye zvichipesana. Traders vanoshandisa zano iri vanogara vakatarisa zviratidzo zvekuti maitiro ave kuda kudzokera kumashure. Chimwe chezvishandiso zvine simba mune yavo arsenal? Kufamba maavhareji.
Avhareji inofamba, muchimiro chayo chakareruka, ivhareji yemutengo wekuchengetedza pamusoro penhamba yakatarwa yenguva. Icho chishandiso chinokwenenzvera data yemutengo nekugadzira inogara yakagadziridzwa avhareji mutengo. Izvi zvinogona kubatsira zvakanyanya mukuziva nekusimbisa maitiro ekuchinja.
Zviri Nyore Kufamba Avhareji (SMA) uye Exponential Kufambira Avhareji (EMA) ndiwo marudzi maviri ekufamba maavhareji anowanzoshandiswa mukudzosera nzira dzekutengesa. SMA inoverengera avhareji yemhando yakasarudzwa yemitengo, kazhinji inovhara mitengo, nenhamba yenguva muchikamu ichocho. EMA, kune rumwe rutivi, inopa huremu huzhinji kumitengo ichangoburwa, ichiita kuti iite zvinoenderana neruzivo rutsva.
Kana zvasvika pakushandisa maavhareji ekufambisa ekudzosera nzira dzekutengesa, imwe nzira yakakurumbira ndeye kufambisa avhareji crossover. Apa ndipo apo mutengo weasset unofamba kubva kune rimwe divi rekufamba pakati kuenda kune rimwe. Icho chiratidzo chekuti maitiro anogona kunge ave kuda kushandura nzira. Semuenzaniso, kana avhareji yenguva pfupi inofamba ichiyambuka pamusoro peavhareji yenguva refu inofamba, inogona kunge iri nguva yakanaka yekutenga. Sezvineiwo, kana avhareji yenguva pfupi inofamba ichiyambuka pazasi peavhareji yenguva refu inofamba, inogona kunge iri nguva yakanaka yekutengesa.
Nekudaro, senge chero nzira yekutengesa, kudzoreredza kutengeserana uchishandisa mafambiro maavhareti hakusi pasina makomba ayo. Chikanganiso chimwe chete traders make arikutsamira chete pakufamba maavhareji kune yavo yekutengesa sarudzo. Nepo kufamba maavhareji kunogona kubatsira kuona zvinogona kudzoserwa kumashure, iwo chiratidzo chekunonoka. Izvi zvinoreva kuti dzinobva pamitengo yakapfuura uye dzinogona kunonoka kupindura nekukurumidza kuchinja kwemusika. Somugumisiro, a trader inogona kupinda kana kubuda a trade kunonoka, kutadza kuwana purofiti kana kuita kurasikirwa kusiri madikanwa.
Imwe kukanganisa kwakajairika kusarudza nguva isiriyo yeavhareji inofamba. Nguva yaunosarudza yeavhareji yako yekufamba inogona kukanganisa zvakanyanya kunzwisiswa kwayo kune shanduko yemitengo. Nguva pfupi ichaita kuti avhareji yekufamba iwedzere kunzwisiswa, nepo nguva yakareba ichiita kuti isanyanya kuomarara. Izvo zvakakosha kuti uwane chiyero chinoenderana nemaitiro ako ekutengesa uye kushivirira njodzi.
Reversal trading strategy kushandisa mavhareji anofamba anogona kuva chishandiso chine simba che traders, asi dzinofanira kushandiswa nehungwaru. Kunzwisisa marudzi akasiyana-siyana ekufamba maavhareji, mashandiro aanoita, uye njodzi dzawo dzinogona kubatsira traders vanoita sarudzo dzine ruzivo uye kuwedzera mikana yavo yekubudirira mumusika unogara uchichinja mamiriro.
3. Zvakajairwa Mhosho muKushandisa Mavhareji Anofamba
Kutarisa mhando yeKufamba Avhareji ndeimwe yezvikanganiso zvinowanzoitika traders make. Izvo zvakakosha kuti unzwisise kuti kune akasiyana marudzi ekufamba maavhareji - Nyore Moving Avhareji (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), uye Weighted Moving Average (WMA) kutaura mashoma. Imwe neimwe yeiyi ine yakasarudzika maitiro uye yakakodzera kune akasiyana ekutengesa mamiriro. Semuenzaniso, EMA inopa huremu huzhinji kumitengo ichangoburwa uye inoteerera kune ruzivo rutsva, ichiita kuti ive yakanakira misika isina kusimba. Nekune rumwe rutivi, SMA haina hanya nekushanduka kwemitengo uye inopa mutsara wakapfava, unogona kubatsira mumisika isingaite.
The kududzira zvisirizvo zvecrossovers mumwe musungo wakajairika. Traders inowanzo funga nezve crossover yemavhareji maviri anofamba seyechokwadi kutenga kana kutengesa chiratidzo. Zvisinei, izvi hazvisi nguva dzose. Crossovers dzimwe nguva inogona kuburitsa zvikwangwani zvenhema, kunyanya mumisika yemisikanzwa. Izvo zvakakosha kushandisa mamwe maratidziro ehunyanzvi kusimbisa chiratidzo usati waita sarudzo yekutengesa.
Pakupedzisira, kuvimba chete neMoving Avhareji zvinogona kutungamirira kuzvikanganiso zvinodhura. Nepo Moving Avhareji ari maturusi ane simba, haafanire kushandiswa ari ega. Iwo anonoka zviratidzo uye anoratidza mitengo yapfuura. Naizvozvo, vangasagona kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo mune ramangwana. Kubatanidza Moving Avhareji nemamwe maturusi ekuongorora hunyanzvi akadai semafambiro mitsara, tsigiro uye nhanho dzekupokana, uye vhoriyamu inogona kupa yakawedzera kunzwisisa yemusika uye inotungamira kune yakawanda ruzivo rwekutengesa sarudzo.
Rangarira, Kufambisa Avhareji ingori chishandiso chimwe mu trader's toolbox. Inogona kubatsira zvakanyanya kana ikashandiswa nemazvo, asi haisi yemashiripiti bara. Nekudzivisa izvi zvikanganiso zvakajairika, unogona kushandisa Moving Avhareji kune yavo yakazara kugona uye kuwedzera yako yekutengesa nzira.
3.1. Kududzirwa zvisizvo kweZviratidzo
Kududzirwa zvisizvo kwezviratidzo igomba rakajairika iro traders kazhinji inowira mukati kana uchishandisa mavhareji anofamba. Izvi zvinowanzoitika kana traders vanoita zvisarudzo zvechimbichimbi zvichibva pakuchinja-chinja kwechinguvana, pane kuona maitiro ese.
Semuenzaniso, a trader inogona kuona pfupi-yenguva inofamba avhareji muchinjikwa pamusoro peavhareji yenguva refu inofamba uye nekukasira kududzira ichi sechiratidzo chekusimudzira. Nekudaro, pasina kufunga nezve yakakura musika mamiriro, ichi chinogona kunge chiri chiratidzo chenhema. Kana musika uri mukudzika kwenguva refu, muchinjiko uyu unogona kungove kudzoreredza kwechinguvana, uye iyo yakazara bearish maitiro inogona kuenderera mberi.
Kunzwisisa mamiriro emusika kwakakosha. Iyo inofamba avhareji crossover mune yakakwira inogona zvechokwadi kuve chiratidzo chekusimudzira, asi iyo yakafanana crossover mune downtrend inogona kunge iri musungo webheya. Traders saka inofanira kufunga nezve yakakura musika maitiro uye zvimwe zviratidzo zveunyanzvi usati waita sarudzo yekutengesa yakavakirwa paavhareji inofamba crossover.
Imwe kukanganisa kwakajairika ndeye kunyanya-kuvimba nekufamba kwemaavhareji. Nepo kufamba maavhareji kunogona kuva chishandiso chinobatsira mune a trader's arsenal, haifanirwe kuve iyo yega hwaro hwekutengesa sarudzo. Zvimwe zvinhu zvakaita sekuita kwemutengo, vhoriyamu data, uye zvimwe zvehunyanzvi uye zvakakosha zviratidzo zvinofanirwa kuverengerwa.
Rangarira, maavhareji ekufamba zviratidzo zvinononoka. Vanomiririra kufamba kwemitengo yapfuura, kwete yeramangwana. Naizvozvo, dzinofanirwa kushandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo uye maturusi ekuwedzera mukana wekubudirira trades. Kiyi yekutengeserana kwakabudirira hakusi kuwana 'magic bullet', asi kuti kugadzira yakazara, yakanyatso kutenderera nzira yekutengesa.
3.2. Chishandiso Chisina kururama
Kufamba zvishoma, munzvimbo yekutengeserana, inoshanda sechinhu chinokosha, kutungamirira traders kune zvisarudzo zvinobatsira. Nekudaro, kushanda kwavo kunoenderana zvakanyanya nekushandisa kwakaringana. A common pitfall that traders kazhinji inokundwa ndiyo application isiriyo yeavhareji inofamba.
Tora, semuenzaniso, iyo Zviri Nyore Kufamba Avhareji (SMA) uye Exponential Kufambira Avhareji (EMA). Iyo SMA yakatwasuka, inoverengera mutengo wepakati pane yakatarwa nguva. Iyo EMA, kune rumwe rutivi, inopa humwe huremu kumitengo yazvino. Zvino, kana a trader inoshandisa EMA mumusika unoshaya kukanganisa, migumisiro yacho inogona kutsausa. Iyo EMA inogona kuratidza shanduko yemaitiro isiri kuitika nekuda kwekunzwa kwayo kumitengo yazvino.
Saizvozvo, kushandisa iyo SMA mumusika wakashata zvakanyanya kunogona kutungamira kunonoka masaini nekuti inoona mitengo yese zvakaenzana. Izvi zvinogona kuita kuti trader kupinda kana kubuda panzvimbo yakanonoka.
- Sarudzo yenguva isiriyo ndeimwe kukanganisa kwakajairika. A 200-day inofamba avhareji inogona kushanda zvakanaka kune wenguva refu investor, asi kwezuva trader, 15-miniti yekufamba pakati ingave yakakodzera.
- Traders zvakare kazhinji kusadudzira zvikwangwani zvecrossover. Muchinjikwa (crossover) inguva pfupi-pfupi inofamba avhareji inoyambuka avhareji yenguva refu. Nekudaro, imwe crossover haifanirwe kunge iri iyo chete inokonzeresa ye trade. Zvimwe zvinhu zvinofanira kufungwa nezvazvo.
Zviratidzo zvenhema ndiyo imwe nyaya inomuka kubva kune isiriyo application. Semuenzaniso, panguva yekubatanidza chikamu, avhareji inofamba inogona kupa chiratidzo chekutenga kana kutengesa, asi ichokwadi 'alarm yenhema'.
Yeuka, maavhareji anofamba haasi asingakanganisi. Iwo maturusi ayo, kana akashandiswa nemazvo, anogona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha uye kutungamira sarudzo dzekutengesa. Asi kana ikashandiswa zvisiri izvo, inogona kutungamirira kuzvikanganiso zvinodhura. Sezvinei nechero chishandiso chekutengesa, kunzwisisa kusimba kwayo uye kusasimba kwayo kwakakosha pakuishandisa nemazvo.
