1. Chii Chinonzi Hull Moving Avhareji?
The Hull Kufambira Average (HMA) chiratidzo chetekinoroji chakagadzirwa naAlan Hull kuti avandudze pane yakarembera uye yekupindura nyaya dzinowanikwa mune yechinyakare inofamba mavhareji. Kusiyana neakareruka kana exponential inofamba mavhareji, iyo HMA inoshandisa yakasarudzika kuverenga iyo inosanganisa iyo kuremerwa kufamba pakati (WMA) ine pfungwa yekutsvedzerera kuburitsa inokurumidza uye yakachena chiratidzo.
Traders kufarira iyo HMA nekuti inokwanisa kutora mafambiro emusika nekukurumidza uye inobvumira kuona nekukurumidza kwezvingango chinja. Iyo yakatsetseka curve yeHMA inoderedza zviratidzo zvenhema izvo zvinowanzovapo mune mamwe marudzi ekufamba-famba, zvichiita kuti ive sarudzo inosarudzwa kune avo vari kutsvaga kuderedza ruzha mumisika inokurumidza kufamba.
Iyo HMA inoshanda zvakasiyana-siyana, inoshanda kune chero nguva, uye inogona kushandiswa mumisika dzakasiyana, kusanganisira mumatanda, forex, uye commodities. Traders inowanzo shandisa nezvimwe zviratidzo kusimbisa maitiro uye kugadzira kutenga kana kutengesa masaini. Yayo main advantage inorara mukubatanidzwa kwekukurumidza uye kutsetseka, ichipa chiyero chinogona kuwedzera zvokutengeserana nzira.
2. Nzira yekuverenga sei Hull Inofamba Avhareji?
Kuverenga iyo Hull Moving Avhareji (HMA) zvinosanganisira kutevedzana kwehuremu hwekufamba maavhareji uye seti yemasvomhu maitiro ekudzikisa kusarira. Danho rekutanga nderekuona Weighted Moving Average (WMA) pamusoro penguva iri hafu yehurefu hweHMA. Semuenzaniso, kana uchiverenga 16-nguva HMA, unotanga ne8-nguva WMA yemutengo.
- Sarudza saizi yako yehwindo:
Iyi ndiyo nhamba yenguva inoshandiswa mukuverenga. Yakajairika default ndeye makumi maviri, asi zviri kwauri uye yako yekuongorora nguva yakatarwa.
- Verenga yekutanga WMA (WMA1):
- Kune yega yega data point (i), pfupikisa mitengo (P) kubva pakutanga kwenhevedzano kusvika ipapo.
- Govanisa huwandu nenhamba yemitengo inosanganisirwa (i + 1).
WMA1 = (P_0 + P_1 + … + P_(i-1)) / (i + 1)
- Verenga yechipiri WMA (WMA2):
- Gurai saizi yehwindo ne 2 uye kutenderedza kunhamba yepedyo yakazara (semuenzaniso, 20/2 = 10 yakatenderedzwa kusvika gumi).
- Kune yega yega data point (i), pfupikisa mitengo (P) kubva pakutanga kwenhevedzano kusvika ipapo, asi ingodzokera kumashure hafu yesaizi yehwindo (semuenzaniso, i = 5, sum P_0 kusvika P_2).
- Govanisa huwandu nehafu-hwindo saizi.
WMA2 = (P_0 + P_1 + … + P_(i-(hwindo/2))) / (hwindo/2)
- Verenga HMA yakasvibirira:
- Wedzera yechipiri WMA (WMA2) ne2.
- Bvisa yekutanga WMA (WMA1) kubva pane zvabuda.
HMA mbishi = 2 * WMA2 – WMA1
- Smooth iyo mbishi HMA:
- Tora sikweya midzi yesaizi yehwindo uye kutenderera kune iri pedyo nhamba yakazara (semuenzaniso, sqrt (20) = 4.5 yakatenderedzwa kusvika ku5).
- Verenga yechitatu WMA (WMA3) uchishandisa HMA mbishi uye sikweya mudzi sesaizi nyowani yehwindo.
HMA = WMA3(Raw HMA, sqrt(hwindo))
Iyi yekupedzisira WMA3 inokupa yakatsetseka Hull Moving Avhareji yeiyo data poindi. Dzokorora nhanho 2-5 kuti upedze HMA yakatevedzana kune ese data mapoinzi.
Kuitwa kweformula iyi kunoda kuverenga kwepakati uye kunogona kufambiswa nespreadsheet software kana mapuratifomu ekutengesa ane akavakirwa-mukati HMA kugona. Traders inofanirwa kuisa data chaiyo uye kusarudza yakakodzera HMA nguva dzinoenderana nemaitiro avo ekutengesa uye mamiriro emusika.
2.1. Kunzwisisa Hull Moving Avhareji Formula
Kubata maNuances eHMA Calculation
Iyo HMA formula inomira kunze kwayo kudzokorora kushandiswa kweyeredhi yekufamba pakati (WMA). Danho rekutanga, rinosanganisira WMA pamusoro pehafu yenguva yakatarwa yeHMA, inhanho yekugadzirira yekuverenga kunotevera. Izvo zvakakosha kuti unzwisise kuti nhanho iyi haisi yekungoita avhareji yemitengo; ndezvekusimbisa ichangoburwa data data, saka izwi rekuti 'kurema'.
Munhanho yechipiri, iyo yekutanga chikamu cheHMA fomula inopinda mukutamba. Nekushandisa iyo WMA zvakare, panguva ino pamusoro pechikwere midzi yenguva yakatarwa yeHMA, fomula inotora pfungwa yekutsvedzerera kusvika padanho repamusoro. Izvi recursive smoothing ndizvo zvinobvumira iyo HMA kuti irambe iri padyo nemitengo yazvino, nekudaro ichidzikisa lag zvakanyanya kupfuura mamwe mavhareji anofamba.
Nhanho yekupedzisira yeHMA kuverenga ndipo panoitika mashiripiti. Nekupeta kaviri WMA yedata rakatsetseka (WMA2) uye nekubvisa yekutanga WMA (WMA1), fomula rinowana counterbalancing effect. Izvi zvakangofanana nekuwedzera gadziriso chinhu chinobvisa kunonoka kwakajairwa mukufamba maavhareji.
Iko kukosha kwezvikamu zveHMA iri mukudzokororwa kwayo kwekupedzisira, uko mhedzisiro yapfuura inoiswa kune imwezve WMA pamusoro peiyo square root yenguva yeHMA. Iyi nhanho yakakosha sezvo ichikwenenzvera chiyero pakati pekudzikisa lag uye kutsetseka kwecurve, zvinobudirira. kukudza kupindura kweHMA kukufamba kwemitengo.
Kunzwisisa chimwe nechimwe chikamu cheHMA kuverenga kwakakosha kune traders vanovavarira kugadzirisa iyo HMA kune yavo chaiyo yekutengesa maitiro. Nekugadzirisa urefu hwenguva yeHMA, traders inogona kugadzirisa kunzwisiswa kweHMA kuti ienderane neyavo ngozi kushivirira uye kusagadzikana kwemusika wavari kutengeserana nawo. Maparamendi eformula anogona kugadziridzwa kuti aenderane neapfupi-nguva scalping nzira, yepakati-yenguva yekuzunguza kutengeserana, kana yenguva refu yekutengesa chinzvimbo, zvichiita kuti HMA ive chishandiso chinochinjika zvechokwadi kune dzakasiyana nzira dzekutengesa. .
2.2. Nhanho-ne-Nhanho Hull Inofambisa Avhareji Yekuverenga
Kushanda Kushandiswa kweHMA Kuverenga
Kutanga pakuverenga kweHMA, nhanho yekutanga inoshanda kuunganidza iyo yakasarudzwa yemutengo data. Iyi data ndiyo hwaro hwekutanga WMA, uko mitengo yazvino inopihwa huremu hwakawanda. Shandisa spreadsheet kana software yekutengesa kuverenga WMA, kazhinji uchiwedzera mutengo wega wega nehuremu chinhu uye kupfupisa mhedzisiro.
Kana WMA1 yave muruoko, enderera nekuverenga kweWMA2. Heino, iyo square root yenguva yeHMA inoita basa rakakosha, sezvo ichiraira kureba kweWMA yechipiri. Iko kudzokororwa kwekushandisa kweWMA kunovimbisa kuti iyo yazvino data yakakwenenzverwa asi inoramba iine hanya nekuchinja kwemusika.
Hunyengeri hweHMA formula hunoonekwa zvakanyanya mukuverenga kwekupedzisira. Kupeta kaviri WMA2 uye kubvisa WMA1 kuita nemaune kuenda neutralize lag izvo zvinowanzotambudza mafambiro akaenzana. Danho iri haringori muitiro wemasvomhu; inzira yehunyanzvi yekusimudzira kuenderana nenguva kwechiratidzo.
Kupedzisa HMA, shandisa iyo WMA kekupedzisira uchishandisa sikweya mudzi wenguva yakatarwa kune kukosha kwakawanikwa munhanho yapfuura. Izvi kutsetseka kwekupedzisira ndiyo kiyi yekupindura kwepamusoro kweHMA. Iyi yekupedzisira iteration inonatsa avhareji inofamba, ichibvumira kuti itaridze mutengo chiitiko nekunonoka kudiki.
Kutora iyo HMA mune yako yekutengesa zano inoda kuwirirana mukuverenga uye nekunzwisisa chinangwa chenhanho imwe neimwe. Kurongeka kweHMA kunoenderana nekuita nemazvo masvomhu aya uye nekuashandisa mukati memamiriro emusika uye zvinangwa zvekutengesa zvega.
Kuverenga Danho | chinangwa | Mazano Akakosha |
Unganidza Price Data | Nheyo yekutanga WMA | Iva nechokwadi chechokwadi che data yekuverenga kwakavimbika |
Verenga WMA1 | Simbisa data yemitengo yazvino | Shandisa hafu yenguva yakatarwa yeHMA |
Verenga WMA2 | Recursive smoothing | Isa yakazara HMA nguva kune yekutanga WMA |
Yekupedzisira HMA Calculation | Neutralize lag, simbisa mhinduro | Kaviri WMA2, bvisa WMA1, shandisa WMA yekupedzisira |
Imwe neimwe nhanho yekuverenga inoita basa rakakosha mukuzadzisa chinangwa cheHMA chekupa traders pamwe a inokurumidza asi yakatsetseka kumiririrwa kwemaitiro emusika.
2.3. Kushandisa Hull Moving Avhareji muExcel
Kushandisa Hull Moving Avhareji muExcel
Excel inopa chikuva chinoshanda che traders kuverenga iyo Hull Moving Avhareji (HMA) pasina kudiwa kwehunyanzvi hwekugadzirisa zvirongwa. Kuita HMA, traders inogona kugadzira spreadsheet inoronga kuverenga kuita mutsara wemakoramu, imwe neimwe ichimiririra nhanho mukuita.
Tanga nekuisa data yemutengo mune imwe column. Pedyo neizvi, verenga yekutanga Weighted Moving Avhareji (WMA1) kwehafu yenguva yeHMA. Izvi zvinosanganisira kugovera huremu kune yega yega yemutengo, nemitengo yazvino ichiwana huremu hwepamusoro. The SUMPRODUCT uye SUM mabasa muExcel anobatsira pano, achikubvumidza kuti uwedzere mutengo wega wega nehuremu hwawo uye wogovanisa nehuwandu hwezviyero.
Tevere, gadzira koramu yechipiri WMA (WMA2), inova iyo WMA yekutanga WMA pamusoro pesikweya midzi yenguva yeHMA. Izvi zvinogona kuverengerwa uchishandisa zvakafanana SUMPRODUCT uye SUM mabasa asi anoshandiswa kune huwandu hwemasero ane WMA1 kukosha.
Kune yekupedzisira HMA kuverenga, iwe uchafanirwa kushanda zvakapetwa WMA2 uye kubvisa WMA1 kubva mairi. Izvi zvinogona kuwanikwa nekungogadzira imwe koramu apo sero rega rega rine fomula inowanza rinoenderana WMA2 sero nembiri uye yobvisa kukosha kweWMA1.
Chekupedzisira, isa iyo WMA imwezve nguva kune mhedzisiro yenhanho yapfuura kuti uwane HMA. Izvi zvinosanganisira zvakafanana SUMPRODUCT uye SUM mabasa asi ikozvino yave kushandiswa kune huwandu hwemasero anokonzerwa nekaviri WMA2 minus WMA1 kuverenga pamusoro pesikweya midzi yenguva yeHMA.
Kukwenenzvera maitiro, Excel inobvumira kugadzirwa kwemazita ane mazita uye hukama maseru mareferensi, zvichiita kuti zvive nyore kukopa mafomula mumitsara. Conditional fomati inogona kuratidza iyo HMA mutsara, ichibatsira traders kuona nekuona mafambiro uye zvinogona kutenga / kutengesa masaini.
Excel Column | Kuverenga | ExcelFunction |
Price Data | - | - |
WMA1 | Weighted average yehafu yenguva yeHMA | SUMPRODUCT, SUM |
WMA2 | Weighted average yeWMA1 pamusoro peskweya midzi yeHMA nguva | SUMPRODUCT, SUM |
HMA Nhanho 3 | 2 × WMA2 – WMA1 | Kushanda arithmetic kuri nyore |
HMA yekupedzisira | Huremu hweavhareji yeHMA Nhanho 3 pamusoro sikweya midzi yeHMA | SUMPRODUCT, SUM |
3. Ndeapi Hull Moving Avhareji Strategies?
Trend Identification Strategy
The HMA inogona kushandiswa pakuzivikanwa kwemaitiro nekuironga pachati yemutengo. Kana iyo HMA ichisimuka, inoratidza yakakwira, ichiratidza mukana tenga chiratidzo. Sezvineiwo, kudonha kweHMA kunoreva kuderera, zvinogona kukonzera a tengesa chiratidzo. Traders kazhinji inotarisa poindi iyo HMA inoshandura nzira sechiratidzo chekupinda kana kubuda trades.
Crossover Strategy
Yakajairika HMA zano rinosanganisira kucherechedza crossovers nemutengo. Kana mutengo ukayambuka pamusoro peHMA, inogona kududzirwa sechiratidzo chebullish. Kana mutengo ukayambuka pazasi peHMA, inogona kutorwa semabhii. Vamwe traders inovandudza zano iri nekushandisa maHMA maviri ane nguva dzakasiyana, senge 9-nguva uye 16-nguva HMA. Muchinjikwa wemaHMA maviri anogona kureva a kusimbisa maitiro akasimba.
Pullback uye Reversal Strategy
Traders inogona kushandisa iyo HMA kuziva kudhonza mukati memaitiro ekupinda mapoinzi. Munguva yekukwira, kunyura kwechinguva mumutengo kunouunza padyo neHMA kunogona kuonekwa semukana wekutenga, uchifunga kuti kukwidziridzwa kwenguva refu kuchatangazve. Iyo pfungwa imwechete inoshanda mune downtrend, uko mupfupi mutengo unokwira wakananga kuHMA ungave uri mukana wekutengesa.
Breakout Strategy
Iyo HMA inogona zvakare kubatsira mukuona breakouts. Mutengo unofamba zvakanyanya kubva kuHMA, kunyanya mushure menguva yekubatanidzwa, unogona kuratidza kutanga kwemaitiro matsva. Traders inogona kushandisa iyi sechiratidzo chekuisa a trade munzira yekuzorora.
nzira | Signal for Entry | Chiratidzo chekubuda |
Trend Identification | HMA kutungamira shanduko | Inopikisa HMA nzira shanduko |
Crossover | Mutengo/HMA kana HMA/HMA crossover | Opposite crossover |
Pullback uye Reversal | Mutengo unosvika HMA panguva yemaitiro | Mutengo unosimuka kubva kuHMA kana maitiro anopera simba |
Kubuda | Mutengo unofamba zvakanyanya kubva kuHMA | Kudonha tichimhanya kana kudzokera kuHMA |
Imwe neimwe nzira inoda kuongorora HMA nezve mutengo chiito kana mamwe maHMA kuti atore mari pane chiratidzo chesimba. Zvinokosha kune traders kubata njodzi nayo kurega-kurasika mirairo uye kufunga zvimwe musika zvinhu uye zviratidzo usati waita trade zvisarudzo.
3.1. Kuziva Trend Reversals neHMA
Slope Shanduko muHMA
Kutenuka kwe HMA line pachayo chiratidzo chekutanga chekuchinja kwemaitiro. Shanduko kubva painokwira kuenda pasi pasi inogona kuratidza shanduko kubva pabullish kuenda kune bearish maitiro. Sezvineiwo, mutsetse unotendeuka kubva pasi uchienda kumusoro unoratidza shanduko kubva kubearish kuenda kune bullish kasi. Idzi shanduko dzemateru dzinogona kucherechedzwa zviri nyore neHMA nekuda kwekutsvedzereka kwayo, iyo inosefa kunze kudiki kuchinja kunogona kuvharidzira gwara rechokwadi.
HMA uye Mutengo Kudyidzana
Kudzokororwa kwemaitiro kunogonawo kuratidzwa nemabatiro anoita mutengo neHMA. Kana mutengo wekuita ukatanga kugara kune rimwe divi reHMA wozoyambuka kuenda kune rimwe divi, inogona kunge iri nhanho yekuchinja kwemaitiro. Semuenzaniso, kana mitengo yaive yakanyanya pamusoro peHMA ikatanga kuvhara pazasi payo, traders inogona kududzira izvi senge inogona kudzoserwa kubva kumusoro kuenda kune downtrend.
Momentum Oscillators Confluence
pakusanganisirawo tichimhanya oscillators sai Hama Strength Index (RSI) kana iyo MACD inogona kupa humwe husimbiso hwekudzokera shure kwakaratidzwa neHMA. Semuyenzaniso, kana iyo HMA ichiratidza inogona kudzoserwa kumashure uye iyo RSI inofamba pamusoro pemakumi matatu (kunze kwenzvimbo inotengeswa), inowedzera kutendeseka kune inodzosera chiratidzo. Saizvozvo, iyo bearish reversal chiratidzo kubva kuHMA yakasanganiswa neMACD crossover pazasi pemutsara wechiratidzo inogona kusimbisa chokwadi chekuchinja kwemaitiro.
Vhoriyamu seChimbo Chekusimbisa
Vhoriyamu inogona kuita sechishandiso chekusimbisa kana ichizivisa kudzokororwa neHMA. Kuwedzera kwehuwandu hwekutengesa kunoenderana nemutengo kuyambuka HMA kunogona kusimbisa kusimba kwekudzosera kumashure. Huwandu hwepamusoro panguva yekuyambuka kwakadaro hunoratidza kubvumirana kwakasimba pakati traders nezve shanduko yemaitiro ekutungamira.
Reversal Indicator | Bullish Chiratidzo | Bata Chiratidzo |
HMA Slope | Kukwidza kumawere kuenda kuzasi kuchinjika | Kudzika kumawere kuenda kumusoro kumawere shanduko |
Mutengo uye HMA Muchinjikwa | Mutengo unoyambuka kubva pazasi kuenda pamusoro peHMA | Mutengo unoyambuka kubva kumusoro kuenda pazasi HMA |
Momentum Oscillator | RSI pamusoro pe30, MACD inoyambuka pamusoro pechiratidzo | RSI pazasi makumi manomwe, MACD inoyambuka pazasi chiratidzo |
vhorumu | Kuwedzera huwandu sezvo mutengo michinjikwa HMA | Kuwedzera huwandu sezvo mutengo michinjikwa HMA |
Traders inofanirwa kuziva masaini aya uye funga kumirira zviratidzo zvakawanda kuti zviwirirane zvisati zvaita pachiratidzo chekudzoka, sezvo izvi zvichigona kubatsira kudzikisira njodzi yenhema.
3.2. Kubatanidza Hull Kufamba Avhareji neZvimwe Zviratidzo
Kuvandudza HMA Zviratidzo neRSI uye MACD
Kubatanidza iyo Hull Moving Avhareji (HMA) ine oscillators senge Relative Strength Index (RSI) uye Kufambisa Avhareji Convergence Divergence (MACD) inogona kugadzira yakasimba yekutengesa system inosefa masaini kuitira mukana wepamusoro trades. Iyo RSI, inomhanyisa oscillator inoyera kumhanya uye shanduko yemitengo yekufamba, inozadzisa iyo HMA maitiro ekuzivikanwa kugona. Kana iyo HMA ichiratidzira maitiro asi iyo RSI yakatengwa zvakanyanya (> 70) kana yakawandisa (<30), inoyambira. traders yezvingangoita maitiro kuneta uye mukana wekudzokera shure.
Iyo MACD, kune rumwe rutivi, inoteedzera hukama pakati pemavhareji maviri anofamba emutengo wekuchengetedza. Nekushandisa iyo MACD pamwe chete neHMA, traders inogona kuona shanduko mukumhanya uye kusimbisa mafambiro emaitiro. Chiratidzo chebullish chinosimbiswa kana HMA ichikwira kumusoro uye mutsara weMACD unoyambuka pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo. Sezvineiwo, kusimbiswa kwebearish kunoonekwa kana HMA ichidzika pasi apo mutsara weMACD unoyambuka pazasi pemutsara wechiratidzo.
Kubatanidza HMA neBollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands kupa mwero we Misika kusagadzikana maererano neavhareji inofamba. Kana yakashandiswa neHMA, Bollinger Bands inogona kubatsira traders inocherekedza nguva dzekushomeka kwepasi dzinowanzo tungamira kuputika kwakasimba. HMA inofamba kunze kweBollinger Bands inogona kuratidza kuenderera mberi kwemaitiro, nepo HMA inotenderera mukati memabhendi inogona kuratidza kunonoka kana kudzoserwa kumashure.
Synergy pamwe Stochastic Oscillator
The Stochastic Oscillator chimwe chishandiso chinobatsira chinogona kupetwa neHMA. Inofananidza mutengo wekuvhara weasset nemutengo wayo wemutengo pane imwe nguva. Ichi chiratidzo chinogona kunyanya kubatsira kana HMA ichiratidza maitiro akajeka, asi musika uri mumamiriro ekudarika kana kutengesa zvakanyanya. Semuyenzaniso, mune yakakwira yakaonekwa neHMA, stochastic kuverenga pazasi makumi maviri inoratidza oversold mamiriro, zvichipa mukana wekutenga.
Chiratidzo | Bullish Chiratidzo | Bata Chiratidzo |
RSI | HMA kumusoro uye RSI inofamba pamusoro pe30 | HMA pasi uye RSI inofamba pazasi makumi manomwe |
MACD | HMA kumusoro uye MACD mutsetse unoyambuka pamusoro pechiratidzo mutsara | HMA pasi uye MACD mutsara inoyambuka pazasi chiratidzo mutsara |
Bollinger Bands | HMA inofamba kunze kwebhendi repamusoro | HMA inofamba kunze kwebhendi rezasi |
Stochastic | HMA kumusoro uye Stochastic pazasi makumi maviri (yakawanda) | HMA pasi uye Stochastic pamusoro pe80 (yakawandisa) |
3.3. Hull Moving Avhareji Crossover Strategy
Hull Moving Avhareji Crossover Strategy
Iyo Hull Moving Avhareji Crossover Strategy inosimudzira iyo kuderedza lag hunhu hweHMA kuratidza mukana wekupinda nekubuda. Iri zano rinowanzobatanidza kushandisa maHMA maviri ane hurefu hwakasiyana; nguva pfupi HMA ye mamwe masaini anopindura uye kwenguva yakareba HMA kusvika ongorora maitiro aripo.
Traders shandisa zano iri nekuona crossover point. A tenga chiratidzo inogadzirwa kana iyo ipfupi HMA yakayambuka pamusoro peiyo HMA yakareba, ichikurudzira iri kubuda. Ukuwo, a tengesa chiratidzo inoitika kana iyo ipfupi HMA ikayambuka pazasi, zvichiratidza inogona kuderera. Iyi mbiri-HMA sisitimu inovavarira kubata akakosha maitiro uku ichidzivirira kuderera kwemitengo kunogona kutungamirira kumasaini enhema.
Iko kushanda kweiyo crossover zano kunogona kukwidziridzwa nekugadzirisa kureba kweHMA nguva zvichienderana nekusagadzikana kweasset uye tradenguva yenguva. Semuyenzaniso, musika wakashata zvikuru ungada kuti HMA ipfupi ishande, nepo musika usina kusimba kana nzira yekutengeserana yenguva refu inogona kubatsirwa kubva kune HMA yakareba kusefa ruzha rwemusika.
Yakakwana HMA Lengths
Market Condition | Ipfupi HMA Period | Yakareba HMA Period |
Yakakwira Volatility | Shorter for reactivity | Pakati pekusefa ruzha |
Yakaderera Volatility | Pakati nepakati kudzivirira zvikwapuro | Yarebesa kusimbiswa kwemaitiro |
Kutengesa-Pfupi-Nguva | Yakanyanya Pfupi kutora mafambiro ekukurumidza | Pfupi kuenda pakati pechirevo chechinyorwa |
Yenguva Yakareba Kutengesa | Pakati nepakati kuitira ruzha rushoma | Kureba kwesimba rakasimba resimbiso |
Izvo zvakakosha kuti uzive kuti nepo HMA Crossover Strategy ine simba, haina kukanganisa. Zviratidzo zvenhema zvinogona kuitika, kunyanya mumisika yemumativi umo macrossovers anogona kugara achitsausa. Kuderedza izvi, traders inowanzobatanidza iyo crossover zano nehunyanzvi hwekuongorora maturusi akadai huwandu hwehuwandu, kutsigirwa uye kukwikwidza, kana kuwedzera kukurumidza oscillators kusimbisa zviratidzo. Iyi nzira ine maitiro akawanda inogona kupa maonero akazara emusika, zvichiita kuti uwane ruzivo rwekutengesa zvisarudzo.
4. Sei Trade Hull Moving Avhareji?
Kutengeserana neHull Moving Avhareji
Kutengeserana Hull Moving Avhareji (HMA) zvinonyatsoenderana nekuziva mafambiro anochinja uye kukurumidza kuchinja mumitengo yemusika. Kuti uwane mari pazvibatsiro zveHMA, traders inofanira kutanga yamisa nguva yakakodzera uye nguva yeHMA inoenderana nemaitiro avo ekutengesa. Nguva pfupi yeHMA inotora mafambiro emitengo nekukurumidza, yakakodzera zuva traders, nepo nguva yakareba ichigadzirisa kusagadzikana, kufarira swing traders or makambani.
Kana HMA materu achichinja nzira, inoratidza mukana trend reversal. Traders inogona kupinda pachinzvimbo sezvo HMA inotanga kusimuka, ichiratidza chimiro chepamusoro, uye kubuda kana kuenda kupfupi kana HMA inotanga kudzikira. Iyi nzira inotsamira pakugona kweHMA kudzikisa lag uye kupindura nekukurumidza kune shanduko yemitengo, ichipa masaini ane nguva achienzaniswa neavhareji ekufamba.
Trade Kupinda uye Kubuda
HMA Trend | Trade Action |
Upward Slope | Funga nezvenzvimbo refu kana kuvhara shorts |
Downward Slope | Funga nezvezvinzvimbo zvipfupi kana kureba kwekuvhara |
Kukwenenzvera kupinda nekubuda mapoinzi, traders inogona kushandisa iyo HMA pamwe chete mutengo chiito. A kubuda pamusoro peHMA inogona kupa mukana wekutenga, nepo a kuputsa pazasi peHMA inogona kupa zano rekubuda kana pfupi-kutengesa mukana. Kutarisisa kuwirirana kweHMA nemutengo kunopa imwe nhanho yekusimbisa, kuderedza mukana wezviratidzo zvenhema.
pakusanganisirawo kuongororwa kwevhoriyamu pamwe neHMA inowedzera trade kusimbiswa. Kuwedzera kwevhoriyamu pakuchinja kwemaitiro kana kubuda kunosimbisa kuzvipira kwemusika kune iyo nzira nyowani. Sezvineiwo, kuchinja kwemaitiro pavhoriyamu yakaderera kungave kushoma kuvimbika, zvichiratidza kudikanwa kwekuchenjerera usati wapinda trade.
Kusimbisa Vhoriyamu
HMA Signal | Bhuku Rinoratidza | Trade Kuvimbika |
Trend Change | Yakakwira Vhoriyamu | Zvimwe Zvakavimbika |
Kubuda | Kuwedzera Vhoriyamu | Chiratidzo chakasimbiswa |
Pakupedzisira, kushandiswa kwe kumira-kurasikirwa mirairo kwakakosha pakutengesa neHMA kubata njodzi nemazvo. Kumisikidza kumira-kurasikirwa pazasi peHMA mune yakakwira, kana pamusoro payo mune downtrend, inogona kubatsira kudzivirira kubva pakurasikirwa kwakakosha muchiitiko chekungoerekana musika wadzokera. Kugadzirisa iyo yekumira-kurasikirwa kurongeka sezvo maitiro achifambira mberi uye kufamba kweHMA kunogona kukiya purofiti uye kudzikamisa kuratidzwa.
Stop-Loss Placement
Musika Maitiro | Stop-Loss Position |
Uptrend | Pazasi peHMA |
Downtrend | Pamusoro peHMA |
Kutengeserana neHMA kunotenderera nemhinduro yayo inokurumidza kukuchinja kwemitengo, ichipa chimiro chakajeka chemaitiro-akavakirwa mazano. Nekubatanidza iyo HMA nemamwe maturusi ehunyanzvi uye maitiro ane ruzha ekutonga njodzi, traders vanogona kutsvaga kuvandudza kurongeka kwavo trades uye inogona kuita purofiti.
4.1. Kumisikidza Hull Inofamba Avhareji paMT4
Kumisikidza Hull Inofamba Avhareji paMT4
Kubatanidza iyo Hull Moving Avhareji (HMA) mune iyo MetaTrader 4 (MT4) chikuva, traders inofanira kutanga yatora iyo HMA chiratidzo faira, iyo inowanzo kuwanikwa mukati .mq4 or .ex4 format. Access the MT4 chinouraya uye tinya pa "Faira" mumenyu yepamusoro, wobva wasarudza "Vhura Dhata Folder." Mukati medhairekitori rakavhurwa, enda kune "MQL4" folda, ichiteverwa ne "Indicators" folda. Dhonza uye udonhedze iyo yakatorwa HMA chiratidzo faira munzvimbo ino.
Tangazve iyo MT4 chikuva kuti uvandudze rondedzero yeanowanikwa zviratidzo. Iyo HMA inofanira ikozvino kuoneka muchikamu che "Custom Indicators" che "Navigator" panel. Kuti uiise pachati, ingo dhonza HMA kubva ku "Navigator" kuenda kune yaunoda chati kana tinya-kurudyi chiratidzo uye sarudza "Batanidza kune chati."
Customization ndiyo yakakosha paunenge uchigadzira HMA. Dzvanya kaviri HMA mu "Navigator" pane kana tinya-kurudyi pane HMA yakatoiswa pachati uye sarudza "Properties" kugadzirisa maparameter ayo. Iyo inonyanya kukosha parameter ndeye nguva yakareba, iyo inofanirwa kusarudzwa zvichienderana ne trader's chaiyo zano uye kusamira kweasset. Vashandisi vanogonawo kuchinja ruvara uye ukobvu yeHMA mutsetse wekujekesa zviri nani zvekuona.
Sample HMA Settings yeMT4
Parameter | tsananguro | Kugadzika Kugadzika | Customization Tip |
nguva | Nhamba yemabhawa anoshandiswa kuverenga HMA | 14 | Rongedza zvichibva pamaitiro ekutengesa uye kusagadzikana |
nzira | Nzira yemasvomhu yeavhareji yemitengo | Linear Weighted | Kazhinji inosiiwa seyakagadzirirwa |
Nyorera kuna | Mutengo data rinoshandiswa mukuverenga | pedyo | Inogona kusetwa kuti Open, High, Low, or Close |
sitaira | Chimiro chekuona cheHMA mutsara | simba | Gadzirira kuda kujeka |
ruvara | Ruvara rwemutsetse weHMA | Tsvuku | Sarudza kusiyanisa ruvara rwekuonekwa |
Kana yangogadziriswa, tarisa chiratidzo kune zvingangoitika zviratidzo zvekutengesa sezvakatsanangurwa muhurongwa hwakambokurukurwa. Rangarira kuti HMA paMT4 chishandiso chekubatsira kuita sarudzo, uye kushanda kwayo kunowedzerwa kana ichishandiswa pamwe chete nedzimwe nzira dzekuongorora hunyanzvi.
4.2. Kupinda uye Kubuda Zviratidzo Uchishandisa HMA
Entry Signals neHMA
The Hull Moving Avhareji (HMA) inopa masaini ekupinda kana mutengo chiito uye HMA inowirirana kuratidza maitiro matsva. Nokuti a kupinda kwenguva refu, chiratidzo mutengo unovhara pamusoro peHMA, uchitevera chiratidzo chekumusoro kubva kumateru eHMA ichitendeukira kumusoro. A kupinda mupfupi inoratidzwa nemutengo unovhara pazasi peHMA panguva yekudzika, yakasimbiswa nekudzika kwakadzika muHMA materu. Traders inofanirwa kutarisa masaini aya pamwe nehupamhi hwepamusoro, hunosimbisa kusimba kwemaitiro.
Trade Entry Confirmation
Position Type | Price Action | HMA Slope | vhorumu |
Kupinda Kwakareba | Vhara pamusoro peHMA | Kumusoro | Yakakwira Vhoriyamu |
Short Entry | Vhara pazasi HMA | Kudzikira pasi | Yakakwira Vhoriyamu |
Buda Zviratidzo neHMA
Kubuda a trade kushandisa HMA kunosanganisira kucherechedza kurasikirwa kwesimba kana shanduko munzira chikamu cheHMA. Zvekubuda munzvimbo refu, a trader inofanira kufunga kuvhara trade apo HMA inotanga kupfava mushure mekukwira kana kutendeukira pasi. Zvikasadaro, chiratidzo chekubuda chechinzvimbo chipfupi chinogona kunge chiri apo HMA inomira kuderera uye yotanga kusimuka, zvichiratidza kudzoserwa kumashure. Kuti uwedzere kusimbisa zviratidzo zvekubuda, traders inogona kutarisa kuderera kwevhoriyamu, iyo inowanzo tungamira kudzoreredzwa kwemaitiro.
Trade Buda Chisimbiso
Position Type | HMA Signal | vhorumu |
Kubuda Kwakareba | HMA materu anodzika kana kutendeukira pasi | Kuderedza Inzwi |
Short Exit | HMA materu anodzika kana kutendeukira kumusoro | Kuderedza Inzwi |
Traders kushandisa iyo HMA inogona kusimudzira kuita kwavo sarudzo nekubatanidza masaini aya nemamwe maturusi ehunyanzvi akadai zvigadziko zvemwenje, kutsigirwa uye kukwikwidza, kana kukurumidza oscillators. Iyi nzira ine-multi-layered inobatsira kusefa masaini enhema uye inobvumira kunyatsoita nguva yekupinda nekubuda. trades.
4.3. Risk Management neHull Moving Avhareji
Risk Management neHull Moving Avhareji
Kushanda njodzi manejimendi ne Hull Moving Avhareji (HMA) kunosanganisira kushandisa kunzwisiswa kwayo kune mutengo mafambiro kuseta dynamic stop-kurasikirwa mirairo. Tichifunga nezve HMA's propensity yekudzikisa lag, inogona kubatsira traders kugadzirisa kumira-kurasikirwa mazinga munguva chaiyo-nguva, kuve nechokwadi kuti vari kuenderana nemamiriro emusika aripo. Kumira-kurasikirwa kurongeka kunogona kuiswa imwe nhamba yepips kure neHMA mutsara kana kugadziridzwa zvinoenderana nezana muzana yekusagadzikana kweasset.
Pamusoro pezvo, iyo HMA inogona kubatsira mukati chinzvimbo saizi. Nekuona chinhambwe pakati penzvimbo yekupinda uye yekumira-kurasikirwa level, traders inogona kuverenga yakakodzera trade saizi. Izvi zvinobatsira kugadzirisa njodzi nekuona kuti chikamu chidiki chete chemari yese chiri panjodzi pane chero imwe chete trade.
Dynamic Stop-Loss Adjustment
Musika Maitiro | Stop-Loss Placement |
Uptrend | Kumira-kurasikirwa pasi peHMA |
Downtrend | Kumira-kurasikirwa pamusoro peHMA |
Uyezve, kugona kweHMA kuona kudzokororwa kwemaitiro kunogona kushanda senzira yekubuda nayo tradevakasuduruka vachipesana ne trader chinzvimbo. Kubuda a trade apo HMA inoshandura nzira inoderedza kurasikirwa uye inochengetedza mari kune ramangwana trades.
Position Sizing Yakavakirwa paHMA
Entry Point | Stop-Loss Level | Position Size |
Pamusoro/Pazasi HMA | HMA +/- Seta Pips | Yakaverengerwa Ngozi % |
Kubatanidza iyo HMA ne kutevera kumira-kurasikirwa mirairo inogona kubatsira mukutora purofiti ichiri kupa downside dziviriro. Sezvo a trade inoita pundutso, inomira yekutevera inogona kusetwa pachinhambwe chakafanotsanangurwa kubva kuHMA, ichibvumira iyo trade kuti urambe wakavhurika chero bedzi maitiro achienderera mberi zvakanaka asi otomatiki kuvhara kana musika ukafamba uchipesana nechinzvimbo.
Chekupedzisira, iyo HMA inogona kushandiswa kuziva njodzi-mubayiro ratios zvekugona trades. Kuenzanisa chinhambwe kubva pakupinda kusvika padanho rekurasikirwa-kuchipikisa chinhambwe kubva pakupinda kuenda kune purofiti inotarirwa inopa. traders muono wekuti a trade zvakakodzera kutora. A yakanaka ngozi-mubairo reshiyo, senge 1: 2 kana kupfuura, inovimbisa kuti purofiti inogona kupfuura njodzi.
Njodzi-Mubayiro Ratio Calculation
Entry Point | Stop-Loss Level | Target Target | Dambudziko-Mubairo Ratio |
Pamusoro/Pazasi HMA | HMA +/- Seta Pips | Predetermined Level | 1:2, 1:3, nezvimwewo. |
5. Ndezvipi Zvakanakira uye Zvakaipa Pakushandisa Hull Moving Avhareji?
Zvakanakira Kushandisa Hull Moving Avhareji
Iyo Hull Moving Avhareji (HMA) inomira kunze kwayo kukurumidza uye nemazvo mukuona mafambiro emusika. Yayo yekutanga advantage ndiro kuderedza lag zvichienzaniswa neavhareji inofamba inofamba, iyo inogonesa traders kuita nekukurumidza kune shanduko mukuita kwemutengo. Izvi zvinogona kunyanya kubatsira mumisika inokurumidza kukurumidza uko kupinda nekubuda panguva kwakakosha.
Kupindura kweHMA kunoitawo kuti ive chishandiso chinogoneka chemhando dzakasiyana dzekutengesa, kubva zuva wokutengesera to yenguva refu yekudyara. Traders inogona kugadzirisa hurefu hwenguva kuti ienderane nemaitiro avo ega, zvichiita kuti ive chiratidzo chinochinjika chenguva dzakasiyana uye mamiriro emusika.
Imwe pro yakakosha kutsvedza kweHMA, iyo inobatsira mukati kusefa ruzha rwemusika. Izvi zvinogadzirisa zvinopa mufananidzo wakajeka wezviri pasi pemaitiro pasina kukanganiswa kwekushanduka kwemitengo kuduku kunogona kukanganisa mamwe marudzi ekufamba kwepakati.
Pros at a Glance
Advantage | tsananguro |
Yakaderedzwa Lag | Kurumidza kuratidza kuchinja kwemitengo, kupa zviratidzo panguva yakakodzera. |
Kubvuma sanduko | Hurefu hwenguva inogadziriswa hunoenderana nemhando dzakasiyana dzekutengesa. |
Kupusa | Inosefa kunze ruzha rwemusika, ichigonesa kujeka kucherechedzwa kwemaitiro. |
Cons yeKushandisa Hull Moving Avhareji
Kunyangwe ad yayovantages, iyo HMA haina matambudziko. Chinhu chinonyanya kukosha ndeche njodzi yezviratidzo zvenhema, kunyanya mumisika yepadivi kana misikanzwa uko kunzwisiswa kweHMA kunogona kutungamira kukupinda nguva isati yakwana kana kubuda. Traders vanogona kusangana zvikwapuro, izvo zviratidzo zvemanyepo zvinogona kukonzera kurasikirwa kana zvikasagadziriswa nemazvo.
Iyo HMA inokurumidza kuita pakufamba kwemitengo, nepo kazhinji yakanaka, inogona zvakare kuve bakatwa rinocheka kaviri. Mumisika ine kusagadzikana kwakanyanya, iyo HMA inogona kuburitsa masaini kakawanda, zvichikanganisa maitiro ekuita sarudzo uye zvinogona kutungamira kudarika.
Uyezve, iyo HMA ingori chishandiso chimwe mu trader's arsenal uye haifanirwe kuvimbwa nayo chete. Iyo haipe ruzivo pamusoro pemusika vhoriyamu kana manzwiro, ayo akakosha maficha ekwakazara musika kuongororwa. Naizvozvo, zvakakosha kushandisa iyo HMA pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo uye maitiro ekuongorora kune akanyanya kusimba ekutengesa zano.
Cons at A Glance
Disadvantage | tsananguro |
Ngozi Yezviratidzo Zvenhema | Kuda kugadzira zviratidzo zvinotsausa mumisika isingaite. |
Kunyanyisa | Inogona kupindura nekukurumidza mumamiriro ezvinhu asina kugadzikana, zvichiita kuti pave nekuvhiringidzika. |
Kushaya Kudzika | Haiverengere vhoriyamu kana manzwiro, inoda kuongororwa kwekuwedzera. |
5.1. Shambadzirovantages yeHMA muKutengeserana
Enhanced Trend Detection
Iyo HMA's advanced calculation method inoderedza kunonoka kunowanzo kuwanikwa mumavhareji anofamba. Izvi kukurumidza kuona mafambiro hunhu hwakakosha traders vanovavarira kutora mari pamatanho ekutanga emaitiro. Iyo HMA's formula, iyo inosanganisira huremu hwekufamba pakati (WMA) nemidzi yenguva, inovimbisa kuti traders kugamuchira zviratidzo zviri pedyo nemutengo wekuita, zvichiita kuti vakwanise kuita zvisarudzo zvinokurumidza uye zvine ruzivo.
Kugadziriswa Kwenguva Yese
Kushanda kwakasiyana-siyana panguva dzakasiyana dzenguva inomira pachena seyakakosha advantage yeHMA. Kunyangwe iri inokurumidza-paced scalper kana yehunyanzvi yenguva refu investor, iyo HMA yenguva kureba inogona kurongeka zvakanaka kuti ishumire akasiyana ekutengesa masitayipi. Uku kuchinjika kunobvumira iyo HMA kuve chishandiso chinoshanda che nzira dzakawanda dzekutengesa, kuve nechokwadi chekuti inoramba yakakosha uye yakakosha zvisinei nekuchinja kwemusika kana nzira yekutengeserana nemunhu.
Inoshanda muTrend Confirmation
Iyo yekutsvedza nzira yeHMA haingodzikisi lag chete asi inobatsirawo mukutsanangudza maitiro chaiwo kubva kumusika ruzha. Nokuita kudaro, inopa traders pamwe yakajeka muitiro simbiso, izvo zvakakosha pakuita trades inowirirana negwara remusika. Iyo HMA's yakatsetseka curve inobatsira mukuona maitiro akagadzikana, ayo anobatsira Strategic yekupinda uye yekubuda mapoinzi.
Trend Confirmation Attributes
Paunhu | Benefit to Traders |
Yakaderedzwa Ruzha | Inopa kuongororwa kwakachena kwemaitiro emusika. |
Smooth Curve | Inopa ratidziro yekuona kuitira nyore kuzivikanwa maitiro. |
Kusimbisa Nguva | Inogonesa kupinda mukati trades panguva dzakanakisa. |
Kupfuura Traditional MAs
Kuenzaniswa netsika dzechinyakare dzinofamba pakati senge Kufambisa Nyore Avhareji (SMA) kana kuti Exponential Moving Average (EMA), iyo HMA inopa a yakasarudzika musanganiswa wekudzikisa lag uye kutsetseka. Nepo EMA achipa huremu hwakawanda kumitengo ichangoburwa, ivo vachiri kusara kumashure kweHMA maererano nekupindura. Iyo HMA's formula inogadzirisa izvi nekuenzanisa pakati peavhareji, iyo inopeta kaviri huremu hwemitengo yazvino, nekudaro. kuwedzera kukurumidza kuita kwekuchinja kwemusika.
Risk Management Enhancement
For traders, kutonga njodzi kwakakosha sekuziva trade mikana. Mhinduro yeHMA yekukurumidza kuchinja kwemitengo inobvumira dynamic stop-kurasikirwa kuiswa, iyo inogona kuve yakakosha mukuchengetedza purofiti uye kudzikisira kurasikirwa. Nekubatanidza kumira-kurasikirwa maodha neiyo HMA yazvino nhanho, traders vanogona kuona kuti hurongwa hwavo hwekutarisira njodzi hwave hwazvino uye hunopindura sezvavanoita trade signals.
Dynamic Risk Management neHMA
Risk Management Tool | HMA Advantage |
Stop-Loss Mirairo | Inobvumira kugadzirisa-nguva chaiyo nekufamba kwemusika. |
Kutevera Kumira | Inochengetedza purofiti nepo ichipa downside dziviriro. |
Mukutengesa, uko kugona kuchinjika nekukurumidza kumamiriro emusika kunogona kuve mutsauko pakati pepurofiti uye kurasikirwa, iyo HMA's ad.vantages inopa mukana wekukwikwidza. Iyo yekukurumidza kuona maitiro, kuchinjika, uye njodzi manejimendi ekuwedzera ndizvo zvikonzero zvakakosha zvekuzivikanwa kwayo pakati traders.
5.2. Kunogumira uye Kufunga Kana Uchishandisa HMA
Dudziro Nuances
Nepo kumhanya kweHMA mukuonekwa kwemaitiro kunorumbidzwa, zvakakosha kuti uzive mukana we overfitting mune mamwe mamiriro emusika. Traders inofanirwa kungwarira maitiro eHMA ekuenderana zvakanyanya kune data renhoroondo, izvo zvingasagara zvichiratidza mafambiro emangwana. Izvi zvinogona kutungamirira kune a pfungwa yenhema yekuchengeteka musimba rechiratidzo, zvichikurudzira kupinda kana kubuda kusina nguva.
Market Context uye HMA Sensitivity
The market context inoita basa rakakosha pakushandisa HMA. Mumisika inoratidzirwa nekusagadzikana kwakanyanya, kunzwisiswa kweHMA kunogona kukonzera shanduko nekukurumidza munzira, izvo zvinogona kududzirwa zvisirizvo sekuchinja kwemaitiro. Zvakakosha kune traders yekutarisa yakakura musika nharaunda uye kushandisa iyo HMA mukati memamiriro e chiito chemutengo wose uye chimiro chemusika.
HMA uye Divergence
Divergence pakati peHMA nemutengo zvinogona kuitika, zvichiratidza kudzoka kana kupera simba kwemaitiro. Nekudaro, kuvimba nekusiyana chete kunogona kutsausa pasina kusimbiswa kubva kune vamwe zviratidzo zveunyanzvi kana kuongorora. Traders inofanirwa kushandisa mutsauko sechikamu chezano rakazara, pane sechiratidzo chakazvimirira.
Parameter Sarudzo
Kusarudza zvakakodzera HMA nguva chiito chekuenzanisa. Nguva pfupi inogona kutungamira mukuwedzera kunzwa uye ruzha, nepo nguva yakareba inogona kuderera zvakanyanya mumisika inokurumidza. Traders inoda gadzirisa zvakanaka marongero eHMA kuenzanisa nharaunda yavo yekutengesa uye kushanduka kwemaitiro echiridzwa chiri traded.
Supplemental Indicators
Chekupedzisira, iyo HMA haifanirwe kushandiswa iri yega. Kuibatanidza nayo huwandu hwehuwandu, oscillators, kana maitiro emitengo inogona kupa mamwe matatu-dimensional maonero emusika. Iyi nzira yekubatanidza inodzikamisa zvipimo zveHMA uye inogonesa imwe kuongororwa kwemusika kwese.
Kufungisisa | chinangwa |
Musika Kukurukurirana | Inova nechokwadi chekuti masaini eHMA anodudzirwa mukati memusika wakakura mamiriro. |
Parameter Fine-Tuning | Inokwidziridza kuterera kweHMA kuti ienderane nehurongwa hwekutengesa. |
Supplemental Indicators | Ipa kumwe kusimbiswa kweHMA-yakagadzirwa masaini. |
Mushure mekubvuma izvi zvisingakwanisi uye kufunga, traders vanogona kubatanidza iyo HMA zvirinani mukuita kwavo kwekutengesa, vachiona kuti vanoshandisa simba rechiratidzo vachiri kuziva kugona kwayo.