1. Kunzwisisa Nheyo dzeMACD
Paunenge uchinyura munyika yekutengeserana, kunzwisisa tekinoroji zviratidzo senge MACD (Kufambira Average Convergence Divergence) yakakosha. Ichi chishandiso, chakagadziridzwa naGerald Appel mukupera kwema1970, inzira yekutevera kukurumidza chiratidzo iyo inoratidza hukama pakati pemavhareji maviri anofamba emutengo wechengetedzo.
Iyo MACD ine zvikamu zvitatu: mutsara weMACD, mutsara wechiratidzo, uye MACD histogram. The MACD line mutsauko pakati pemazuva gumi nemaviri EMA (Exponential Moving Average) uye EMA yemazuva makumi maviri nematanhatu. The chiratidzo mutsara, kazhinji EMA yemazuva 9 yemutsara weMACD, inoita sechinhu chinokonzeresa kutenga nekutengesa masaini. Pakupedzisira, the MACD histogram inomiririra mutsauko pakati pemutsara weMACD uye mutsara wechiratidzo, uchipa mufananidzo unooneka wekukurumidza kwekuchinja kwemutengo.
Kunzwisisa kuti zvinhu izvi zvinopindirana sei kwakakosha pakududzira MACD. Kana iyo MACD mutsara ichiyambuka pamusoro peiyo mutsara wechiratidzo, inowanzoratidza maitiro ekutengesa, zvichiratidza kuti ingave nguva yakanaka yekutenga. Sezvineiwo, kana iyo MACD mutsara ikayambuka pazasi pechiratidzo mutsara, inoratidza iyo bearish maitiro, pamwe ichiratidzira nguva yakanaka yekutengesa.
MACD inobatsirawo traders ratidza zvingango dzokera kumashure. A bullish divergence inoitika kana iyo MACD ichiumba maviri anokwira akaderera anoenderana neaviri anodonha akaderera pamutengo. Izvi zvinogona kuratidza kukwira kwemutengo kudzokororwa. A bearish divergence inoitika apo MACD inoumba maviri anodonha akakwira anoenderana neaviri anokwira kumusoro pamutengo, zvichigona kusaina kudzikira kwemutengo.
Nepo iyo MACD iri chishandiso chine simba, zvakakosha kuyeuka kuti hapana chiratidzo chisina benzi. Gara zvishandise pamwe nemamwe maturusi uye ongorora kuti uite zvine ruzivo rwekutengesa sarudzo. Kuti uwane rumwe ruzivo rwakadzama nezveMACD, funga zviwanikwa zvakaita se 'Technical Analysis yeMarike Markets' naJohn J. Murphy.
1.1. Chii chinonzi Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)?
The Kufambisa Avhareji Convergence Divergence (MACD) chiratidzo-chinotevera chinoratidza hukama pakati pemavhareji maviri anofamba emutengo wekuchengetedza. Iyo MACD inoverengerwa nekubvisa iyo 26-nguva Exponential Moving Average (EMA) kubva ku12-nguva EMA. Mhedzisiro yekuverenga iyo ndeye MACD mutsara. EMA yemazuva mapfumbamwe yeMACD, inonzi "signal line," inobva yarongwa pamusoro pemutsara weMACD, iyo inogona kushanda sechinhu chinokonzera kutenga nekutengesa zviratidzo.
Traders inogona kutenga chengetedzo kana MACD yayambuka pamusoro pemutsara wayo wechiratidzo uye kutengesa chengetedzo kana MACD ichiyambuka pazasi pemutsara wechiratidzo. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) zviratidzo zvinogona kududzirwa nenzira dzinoverengeka, asi nzira dzinowanzozivikanwa ndeye crossovers, divergences, uye kukurumidza kusimuka / kudonha.
Semuenzaniso, apo MACD inowira pasi pemutsara wechiratidzo, iyo inonzi bearish signal, iyo inoratidza kuti inogona kuva nguva yekutengesa. Sezvineiwo, kana MACD ichikwira pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo, chiratidzo chinopa chiratidzo chebullish, icho chinoratidza kuti mutengo weiyo asset ungangosangana nekukwira kumusoro. Vamwe traders mirira muchinjiko wakasimbiswa pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo usati wapinda munzvimbo yekudzivirira "kubuda kunze" kana kupinda munzvimbo nekukurumidza.
Divergence pakati peMACD uye chiito chemutengo chiratidzo chakasimba painosimbisa zviratidzo zvekuyambuka. Semuenzaniso, kana iyo MACD kukosha iri kukwira zvishoma nezvishoma, asi mutengo uri kudonha zvishoma nezvishoma, izvi zvinogona kuratidza iri kuuya bhurandi maitiro.
Chekupedzisira, kukurumidza kusimuka (kana kudonha) muMACD kunogona kuratidza kuwandisa (kana kutarisisa), zvichipa chiratidzo chinogona kutarisa kururamisa mutengo kana kudhonza kumashure. Nekudaro, sezviratidziro zvese zvemusika, iyo MACD haina benzi uye inofanirwa kushandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo kuita zvine musoro kutengeserana sarudzo.
Iyo MACD yakashandiswa zvakanyanya ne traders kubva payakagadziridzwa naGerald Appel mukupera kwema1970, uye nechikonzero chakanaka. Kugona kwayo kuziva nekukurumidza kuchinja mafambiro, uye huwandu hwakawanda hwemhando dzechiratidzo hunoita kuti ive chishandiso chinogoneka mune chero trader's arsenal.1
1 Appel, Gerald. "Iyo Moving Average Convergence Divergence Trading Method." Traders.com. 1979.
1.2. Zvikamu zveMACD
Iyo MACD, kana Moving Average Convergence Divergence, iri oscillator-mhando chiratidzo chinoshandiswa zvakanyanya mu zvekushandisa ongororo. Iyo MACD inoumbwa ne zvinhu zvikuru zvitatu: iyo MACD mutsara, iyo Signal mutsara, uye iyo Histogram.
The MACD line inoverengerwa nekubvisa iyo 26-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) kubva pamazuva gumi nemaviri EMA. Mutsetse uyu unoshandiswa kuona zvinogona kutenga uye kutengesa masaini. Semuenzaniso, kana mutsara weMACD ukayambuka pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo, chiratidzo chebullish. Sezvineiwo, kana iyo MACD mutsara ikayambuka pazasi pechiratidzo mutsara, ibhizari chiratidzo.
The Mutsara wechiratidzo ndiyo 9-zuva EMA yeMACD mutsara pachayo. Inoita sechinhu chinokonzera kutenga nekutengesa zviratidzo. Traders uye vanoisa mari vanonyatsoteerera apo iyo MACD mutsara uye chiratidzo chemutsara chinoyambuka, sezvo aya mapoinzi anowanzo ratidza zvingango chinja musika.
The Histogram inomiririra musiyano pakati peMACD line uye Signal line. Kana mutsara weMACD uri pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo, histogram yakanaka. Kana mutsara weMACD uri pasi pemutsara wechiratidzo, histogram haina kunaka. Iyo histogram inobatsira pakuona saizi uye kutungamira kwepakati pakati peMACD uye Signal mitsetse.
Muchidimbu, izvi zvikamu zvitatu zveMACD zvinopa traders uye vanoisa mari vane yakapfuma seti yedata kutsigira sarudzo dzemusika wavo. Nekunzwisisa nekududzira izvi zvikamu nenzira kwayo, vanogona kuwana kunzwisisa kwakadzama kwemaitiro emusika uye zvinogona kudzoserwa.
2. Kuturikira MACD Signals
Iyo MACD, kana Moving Average Convergence Divergence, chishandiso chine simba mune arsenal yechero ruzivo. trader kana investor. Chinangwa chayo chikuru ndecheku tsvaga zvinogona kutenga uye kutengesa zviratidzo, ichipa ruzivo rwakakosha mumaitiro emusika. Kana iyo MACD mutsara ichiyambuka pamusoro peiyo chiratidzo mutsara, inowanzo dudzirwa sebullish chiratidzo - iyo yakakodzera nguva yekutenga. Sezvineiwo, kana mutsara weMACD ukayambuka pazasi pemutsara wechiratidzo, unowanzo onekwa sechiratidzo chebearish, zvichiratidza mukana wekutengesa wakanyanya.
Chinhu chakakosha cheMACD ndeye zero line, iyo inoshanda sehwaro hwehutsika hwakanaka uye husina kunaka. Kana iyo MACD mutsara uri pamusoro pemutsara we zero, izvi zvinoratidza kuti chiyero chenguva pfupi chiri kupfuura avhareji yenguva refu - chiratidzo chebullish. Kana iri pasi pemutsara we zero, avhareji yenguva pfupi iri kunonoka - chiratidzo chebearish. Vanoisa mari vanofanirawo kuteerera kusiyana, iyo inoitika kana mutengo weasset uye MACD iri kufamba nenzira dzakasiyana. Izvi zvinogona kuratidza kushanduka kwemusika, uye chiratidzo chakakosha chekunyevera traders.
Iyo MACD Histogram chimwe chinhu chakakosha kufunga. Inoronga chinhambwe pakati peMACD mutsara uye mutsara wechiratidzo, ichipa inomiririra inomiririra yekuti vaviri vari kudyidzana sei. Tsika dzakanaka kurudzira kusimudzira kwekusimudzira, uku tsika dzisina kunaka kuratidza bearish kasi. Zvinonzwisisika, histogram inogona kubatsira traders inozivisa kana musika uchikwira uchidzikira kana kukurumidza kukurumidza, ichipa kunzwisisa kwakawanda kwemaitiro emusika.
Nezviziviso izvi, traders inogona kushandisa iyo MACD kunyatso kuyera gwara uye simba remusika mafambiro, kufanoona zvingangodzokera kumashure, uye kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo nezve nguva yekutenga nekutengesa. Nekudaro, zvakakosha kuyeuka kuti nepo MACD chiri chishandiso chine simba, haina kupusa, uye inofanirwa kugara ichishandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo uye nzira dzekuongorora. Maererano ne Investopedia, iyo MACD "inofanira kushandiswa nemamwe maratidziro ehunyanzvi kana mapatani emachati kuti awedzere kushanda."
2.1. Signal Line Crossovers
Iyo MACD, kana Moving Average Convergence Divergence, chishandiso chine simba che traders, ichipa manzwisisiro mune zvemusika mafambiro uye zvinogona kutenga kana kutengesa masaini. Chinhu chakakosha pachishandiso ichi ndeye Signal Line Crossover, nzira inogona kubatsira traders gauge musika kusimba uye kufanotaura zviito zvemutengo mune ramangwana.
A Signal Line Crossover inoitika apo mutsara weMACD, wakaverengwa nekubvisa 26-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) kubva ku12-day EMA, inoyambuka pamusoro kana pasi pemutsara wechiratidzo, 9-day EMA yemutsara weMACD. Kana iyo MACD mutsara ichiyambuka pamusoro peiyo mutsara wechiratidzo, inowanzova chiratidzo chekusimudzira, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kunge iri nguva yakanaka yekutenga. Sezvineiwo, kana iyo MACD mutsara ikayambuka pazasi pechiratidzo mutsara, inowanzoonekwa senge bearish chiratidzo, ichinongedza ingave nguva yekutengesa.
Asi zvakakosha kuyeuka izvozvo Signal Line Crossovers haifanirwe kushandiswa uri woga. Sekureva kwaGerald Appel, mugadziri weMACD, aya macrossover dzimwe nguva anogona kuburitsa masaini enhema kana 'zvikwapuro', kunyanya mumisika isina kusimba. Naizvozvo, zvakakosha kuti traders kuzvishandisa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo zvehunyanzvi kana mapatani emachati kusimbisa masaini uye kudzivirira dzingangove maaramu enhema.
Somuenzaniso, a trader anogona kushandisa iyo Hama Strength Index (RSI) kana Bollinger Mabhendi ane MACD kuti awedzere kuvimbika kwezviratidzo. Uyezve, zvinokurudzirwawo kuti utarise maitiro ese uye mamwe macroeconomic zvinhu usati waita sarudzo yekutengesa yakavakirwa pane. Signal Line Crossovers. Senguva dzose, kungwara ngozi manejimendi ekutungamira uye nzira yakarongeka yekutengesa ndiyo yakakosha pakubudirira mumisika yemari.
2.2. Zero Line Crossovers
Paunenge uchidzidza MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), pfungwa ye Zero Line Crossovers inokosha. Aya macrossovers anoitika apo MACD line, musiyano pakati pemazuva gumi nemaviri uye 12-zuva exponential inofamba mavhareji, inoyambuka zero line. A positive crossover inoreva shizha maitiro, zvichiratidza nguva yakafanira ye traders kutenga. Sezvineiwo, crossover isina kunaka inoreva kubhebhisa maitiro, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kunge iri nguva yakakodzera yekutengesa.
Kubudirira kwe zero line crossovers, sekune chero nzira yekutengeserana, haisi yakakwana uye inofanira kushandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo. Somuenzaniso, the Signal Line Crossovers, mutsara wechipiri wakarongwa pane MACD chati, inogona kubatsira kusimbisa zero line crossover. Iko kusangana kwezviratidzo zviviri izvi kunogona kupa humbowo hwakasimba hwekugona kuchinja munzira yemusika.
Nekudaro, zero mutsara crossovers dzinogona kupa masaini enhema panguva yemusika usingaite. Traders inofanira kungwarira zvikwapuro, iyo inopinza kuchinja kwemutengo unogona kutungamirira kune zviratidzo zvinotsausa. Saka nekudaro, zvinokurudzirwa kutarisa musika kuti usimbiswe usati waita pane zero mutsara crossover.
Sekureva kweshumo ne Market Technicians Association, zero line crossovers dzakaonekwa kuti dzakanyatsoshanda pakuziva mikana yekutengeserana kwenguva refu panzvimbo yezviitiko zvenguva pfupi. Chidzidzo ichi chinosimbisa kuti zero mutsara crossovers inogona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha mumusika maitiro, asi nguva yekuurayiwa kwavo inoda hunyanzvi uye nemazvo.
Rangarira, iyo MACD chishandiso chinogoneka chinopa zvinopfuura zero mutsetse crossovers. Zvimwe zvikamu zvakadai se MACD Histogram uye Kusiyana akakosha zvakaenzana mukubatsira mukuwongorora kuzere kwemusika. Nokudaro, kubudirira trader ndiye anokwanisa kubatanidza zvinhu zvakasiyana-siyana zveMACD kukwidziridza zano ravo rekutengesa.
2.3. Kuparadzana
Pfungwa kusiyana chinhu chakakosha kana uchiongorora iyo Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Divergence, mumamiriro ezvinhu eMACD, inoreva mamiriro ezvinhu apo mutengo wekuchengetedza uye MACD chiratidzo chiri kufamba nenzira dzakasiyana. Ichi chiratidzo chakakosha chemusika icho traders uye vanoisa mari havafanirwe kufuratira.
A bullish divergence inoitika kana mutengo wekuchengetedza uchiita kuderera kutsva, asi iyo MACD iri kukwira kumusoro. Kusiyana uku kunogona kunge kuri chiratidzo chekukwira kwemutengo kudzoserwa, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kunge iri nguva yakakodzera kutenga. Ukuwo, a bearish divergence inoonekwa kana mutengo uchiita hutsva hutsva, asi MACD iri kutsika ichidzika. Iyi mhando yekusiyana inogona kuratidza inogona kudzika mutengo kudzoserwa, zvichiratidza kuti ingave nguva yakanaka yekutengesa.
Nekudaro, zvakakosha kuziva kuti kunyangwe misiyano ichigona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha, haifanirwe kushandiswa yakazvimiririra. Sezvakataurwa naMurphy mubhuku rake rinonzi "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets," zviratidzo zvekusiyana zvinowanzova zvakavimbika zvakanyanya kana zvichishandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo zveunyanzvi. Izvi zvinogona kubatsira traders uye vanoisa mari vanowedzera mukana wekuita sarudzo dzakabudirira dzekutengesa.
Uyezve, misiyano dzimwe nguva inogona kutsausa. Hazvishamisi kuti mutsauko uumbe, chete kuti mutengo uenderere mberi nemaitiro ayo epakutanga. Izvi zvinozivikanwa se a kusiyana kwenhema. Nekudaro, kunyangwe kusiyana kuchigona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha mukushanduka kwemusika, zvakakosha kuti traders uye vanoisa mari kuti vashandise pamwe nemamwe maturusi ehunyanzvi uye kugara uchifunga nezve yakakura musika mamiriro.
Zvikuru, kupatsanura ingori chikamu chimwe cheMACD, asi kunzwisisa musimboti uyu kunogona kuwedzera zvakanyanya kugona kwako kwehunyanzvi hwekuongorora. Nekunyatsotarisisa uye nekushandisa zvine hungwaru, iyo MACD musiyano inogona kuve chishandiso chine simba mune yako yekutengesa arsenal, ichikubatsira kuona zvinogona kuchinja nzvimbo mumusika zvisati zvaitika.
3. Mastering MACD Trading Strategy
The MACD (Kufambisa Avhareji Convergence Divergence) zvokutengeserana nzira yakakurumbira nzira pakati traders uye vanoisa mari, vane mukurumbira nekuita kwayo mukunongedza mikana yekutenga nekutengesa. Nekuenzanisa kupindirana kwemavhareji maviri anofamba, iyo MACD zano inogona kubatsira traders ratidza nguva dzakakosha pamusika.
Kukwirisa mashandisirwo eMACD zano, zvakakosha kuti unzwisise zvinhu zvayo zvitatu zvakakosha: mutsara weMACD, mutsara wechiratidzo, uye MACD histogram. The MACD line mutsauko uripo pakati pemazuva gumi nemaviri nemazuva makumi maviri nematanhatu exponential moving average (EMAs), nepo chiratidzo mutsara ndiyo 9-day EMA yemutsara weMACD.
Kana iyo MACD mutsara ichiyambuka pamusoro peiyo chiratidzo mutsara, inogadzira chiratidzo chebullish, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kunge iri nguva yakafanira yekutenga. Sezvineiwo, kana iyo MACD mutsara ichiyambuka pazasi pechiratidzo mutsara, inogadzira chiratidzo chebearish, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kunge iri nguva chaiyo yekutengesa.
Iyo MACD histogram, iyo inomiririra mutsauko pakati peMACD mutsara uye mutsara wechiratidzo, inoita basa rakakosha mukufanotaura mafambiro emusika. Kana iyo histogram yakanaka (mutsara weMACD uri pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo), inogona kuratidza kukwira. Sezvineiwo, iyo negative histogram (MACD mutsara pazasi pechiratidzo mutsara) inogona kuratidza downtrend.
Chinhu chakakosha kuyeuka nezveMACD yekutengesa zano kuvimba kwayo nemamiriro emusika. Munguva yekusagadzikana kwemusika mamiriro, iyo MACD inogona kuburitsa zviratidzo zvenhema. Naizvozvo, zvinokurudzirwa kuishandisa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzi zvehunyanzvi zvekuwedzera uye kwakaringana kuongororwa kwemusika.
Maererano neongororo yakabudiswa mu International Journal of Trade, Economics, uye Mari, iyo MACD zano rinogona kunyanya kushanda kana rasanganiswa neRelative Strength Index (RSI).1 Kunyange iyo MACD ichibatsira kuona zvingangoitika shanduko uye kutenga kana kutengesa mikana, iyo RSI inogona kusimbisa aya masaini nekuyera kumhanya uye shanduko yekufamba kwemitengo.
Risk management chimwe chinhu chakakosha chekugona iyo MACD yekutengesa zano. Gara uine chokwadi chekuseta kumira-kurasikirwa maodha kuchengetedza mari yako kubva mukurasikirwa kukuru kana musika ukaita zvinopesana nekufungidzira kwako.
1 "An Empirical Study on Technical Analysis for Predicting Stock Market Trends", International Journal of Trade, Economics, uye Finance, 2012.
3.1. MACD seTrend-Inotevera Strategy
The MACD (Kufambisa Avhareji Convergence Divergence) chishandiso chine simba chiri mumaoko enyanzvi trader, kunyanya senzira yekutevera nzira. Icho chiratidzo chehunyanzvi chinogona kubatsira traders cherechedza mikana yekutenga kana kutengesa zvichienderana nemaitiro emusika. Izvi zvinowanikwa nekutevera kupindirana pakati pemavhareji maviri anofamba: mutsara weMACD uye mutsara wechiratidzo.
Mutsara weMACD ndiwo musiyano pakati pe26-day uye 12-day exponential moving average (EMA), nepo mutsara wechiratidzo uri 9-day EMA yemutsara weMACD. Kudyidzana kwemitsara iyi inoumba hwaro hweMACD maitiro-anotevera zano.
apo MACD mutsara unoyambuka pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo, inowanzoonekwa sechiratidzo chebullish, ichiratidza mukana wekusimuka kwemaitiro. Sezvineiwo, apo the MACD mutsetse unoyambuka pazasi pechiratidzo mutsara, inonongedza kune inogona kuitika bearish maitiro.
Nekudaro, sekune vese zvokutengeserana nzira, zvakakosha kuti uyeuke kuti masaini eMACD haana benzi. Iwo anofanirwa kushandiswa pamwe chete nemamwe maturusi ekuongorora tekinoroji uye data remusika kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo rwekutengesa. Kubatanidza iyo MACD maitiro-inotevera zano neinonzwika njodzi manejimendi inogona kubatsira traders kufamba mumvura inoputika yemisika yemari.
Muchidzidzo che Journal of Technical Analysis, MACD yakawanikwa sechishandiso chakavimbika chekufungidzira mafambiro emitengo yenguva pfupi, kusimbisa kukosha kwayo mune yakazara nzira yekutengesa. Pasinei nekureruka kwayo, inopa ruzivo rwakakosha mumafambiro emusika, kubatsira traders kugara nhanho imwe kumberi.
Uyezve, kugona kweMACD hakungogumiri pakuziva kutanga uye kupera kwemaitiro. Inobatsira zvakare pakunongedza kusiyana kwemitengo. Semuenzaniso, kana mutengo wasvika pakakwirira patsva asi MACD isingaite, inogona kuratidza kudzikira kweiyo uptrend uye inogona kudzoserwa musika.
Naizvozvo, kunzwisisa uye kunyatsoshandisa MACD senzira yekutevera nzira inogona kusimudza zvakanyanya a trader kugona kutsanangura mafambiro emusika, uyezve, kubudirira kwavo kwekutengesa.
3.2. MACD seMomentum Strategy
Munyika yekutengesa nekudyara, iyo MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) chiratidzo chine mukurumbira, kunyanya kana zvasvika padanho rekusimudzira. Ichi chiratidzo chakagadzirwa naGerald Appel mukupera kwema1970 kuti aone shanduko musimba, gwara, kukurumidza, uye nguva yemaitiro mumutengo westock.
The MACD chiratidzo-chinotevera chinoratidza hukama pakati pemavhareji maviri anofamba emutengo wekuchengetedza. Iyo MACD inoverengerwa nekubvisa iyo 26-nguva Exponential Moving Average (EMA) kubva ku12-nguva EMA. Mhedzisiro yekubvisa uku ndeye MACD mutsara. EMA yemazuva mapfumbamwe yeMACD, inonzi "signal line," inobva yaiswa pamusoro peMACD line, iyo inogona kushanda sezvinokonzera kutenga nekutengesa zviratidzo.
Traders inogona kutenga chibatiso kana MACD inoyambuka pamusoro pemutsara wayo wechiratidzo uye kutengesa - kana kupfupi - chengetedzo kana MACD ichiyambuka pazasi pemutsara wechiratidzo. Uyezve, iyo MACD histogram, iyo yakarongerwa nembariro dzakamira, inoratidza chinhambwe pakati pemutsara weMACD nemutsara wechiratidzo cheMACD. Kana iyo MACD mutsara uri pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo, histogram ichave pamusoro peiyo MACD yekutanga. Sezvineiwo, kana mutsara weMACD uri pazasi pemutsara wechiratidzo, histogram ichave pazasi peiyo MACD yekutanga. Traders shandisa histogram kuona kana bullish kana bearish kasi yakakwira.
Nekugona kwayo kukwirisa mutengo data uye kuishandura kuita inoshandisika maitiro-inotevera chiratidzo, iyo MACD chishandiso chakakosha che traders kutsvaga kuita chirongwa chekukurumidza. Chinokosha kuyeuka kuti nepo MACD chiri chishandiso chine simba, chinoshandiswa zvakanyanya pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo uye maitiro ekuongorora kusimbisa masaini uye kudzivirira nhema.
3.3. Kubatanidza MACD pamwe nemamwe maratidziro ehunyanzvi
Nepo iyo Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) iri chishandiso chine simba pachayo, kushanda kwayo kunogona kukwidziridzwa zvakanyanya kana ichishandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo zvehunyanzvi. Kubatanidza MACD neiyo Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Bollinger Bands, semuenzaniso, inogona kupa maonero akazara emamiriro emusika.
RSI, iyo inoyera kukurumidza uye kuchinja kwekufamba kwemitengo, inogona kubatsiridza MACD nekubatsira kusimbisa kana misika yakanyanyisa kana kutengeswa. Kana RSI neMACD zviratidzi zvichienderana, zvinogona kupa chiratidzo chakasimba che traders. Semuyenzaniso, kana iyo MACD ichiratidza abullish crossover (iyo MACD mutsara inoyambuka pamusoro pechiratidzo mutsara) uye RSI iri pazasi 30 (ichiratidza oversold mamiriro), inogona kuratidza mukana wakasimba wekutenga.
Pane rimwe divi, Bollinger Bands inogona kushandiswa padivi neMACD kuziva kukanganisa uye mazinga emitengo ari mukutenga zvakanyanya kana kutengeswa zvakanyanya. Kana mutengo unobata kumusoro kweBollinger Band uye mutsara weMACD unoyambuka pazasi pemutsara wechiratidzo, unogona kuratidza mukana wekutengesa. Sezvineiwo, kana mutengo unobata yakaderera Bollinger Band uye iyo MACD mutsara inoyambuka pamusoro pechiratidzo mutsara, inogona kuratidza mukana wekutenga.
Rangarira, nepo nzira idzi dzichigona kusimudzira kushanda kweMACD, hadzina kupusa uye dzinofanirwa kushandiswa pamwe chete neyakaomesesa yekutengesa nzira uye maitiro ekugadzirisa njodzi. Sekutsvagisa kwakaitwa naHuang, Yu, and Wang (2009), kubatanidza zviratidzo zvakawanda zvehunyanzvi zvinogona kuwedzera pundutso yemaitiro ekutengesa, asi zvakakosha kuti unzwisise kuti chiratidzo chega chega chinoshanda sei uye nekuchishandisa nenzira kwayo mumamiriro akasiyana emusika.
Zvinokoshawo kuti backtest chero zano risati raitwa. Backtesting inosanganisira kushandisa zano rako kune nhoroondo data kuti uone kuti yaizodai yakaita sei. Izvi zvinogona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha uye kubatsira kugadzirisa maitiro ako. Sezvo chirevo chekare chinoenda, “Ronga zvako trade uye trade plan yenyu."
4. Mazano Anoshanda eMACD Trading
Imwe yedzakanakisa nzira dzekushandisa iyo Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ndeye. kushandisa crossovers. A bullish crossover inoitika kana mutsara weMACD ukayambuka pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kunge iri nguva yakafanira yekutenga. Sezvineiwo, iyo bearish crossover, uko MACD mutsara unoyambuka pazasi pechiratidzo mutsara, unoratidza kuti inogona kunge iri nguva yakakodzera yekutengesa. Nguva dzose funga nezvemaitiro emusika pakududzira MACD crossovers; maererano neDow Theory, "maitiro aripo kusvika masaini echokwadi aratidza kuti apera."[1]
Imwe nzira ine simba ndeye cherechedza misiyano pakati peMACD uye mutengo weiyo asset. Kana mutengo weasset ukakwira patsva, asi MACD haidaro, iyi bearish divergence inogona kureva kudzoreredzwa kwemutengo kune kuderera. A bullish divergence, kune rumwe rutivi, inoitika kana mutengo ukaita hutsva hushoma, asi MACD haidaro, ichinongedza painokwanisika kudzoserwa kwemutengo kune kumusoro.
Ngwarira zviratidzo zvenhema. Iyo MACD, sezviratidzi zvese, haina benzi uye inogona kuburitsa zviratidzo zvenhema. Kuti uderedze njodzi iyi, funga kushandisa MACD pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo kana tekinoroji yekuongorora maturusi kuti usimbise masaini uye udzivise zvingangoitika zvenhema.
Gadzirisa MACD marongero kuti ikwane yako yekutengesa nzira. Izvo zvakajairwa zvigadziriso zveMACD (12, 26, 9) hazvina kuiswa mudombo. Tamba uchitenderedza neakasiyana marongero kuti uwane izvo zvinoshanda zvakanyanya kune yako yekutengesa maitiro uye chaiyo asset yauri kutengesa. Ziva kuti mapfupi marongero achaita kuti MACD iwedzere kutaridzika, nepo magadzirirwo akareba achizoita kuti ive shoma.[2]
Chekupedzisira, ngatisakanganwa izvozvo kushivirira chinhu chakanaka mukutengesa. Mirira zviratidzo zvakasimbiswa uye usamhanyire kupinda trades yakavakirwa pakufamba kwenguva pfupi MACD. Semukurumbira trader Jesse Livermore akamboti, “Kwaisava kufunga kwangu kwakandiitira mari yakawanda. Kwaiva kugara kwangu nguva dzose.”[3] Zano iri rinoita chokwadi mukutengesa kweMACD; mirira chiratidzo chakakodzera, uye wobva waita zvine hungwaru.
[1] Charles Dow. "Dow's Theory yeMakesi." Wall Street Journal, 1901.
[2] Gerald Appel. "Technical Analysis: Zvishandiso zveSimba kune Vanoshingaira Investors." FT Press, 2005.
[3] Jesse Livermore. "Zviyeuchidzo zveStock Operator." John Wiley neVanakomana, 1923.
4.1. Kunzvenga Zviratidzo Zvenhema
Iyo Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) chishandiso chine simba chiri mumaoko emunhu anodyara mari, asi hachisi benzi. Imwe yematambudziko anowanzo kuwira zviratidzo zvenhema, izvo zvinogona kutungamirira kusarudzo dzisina kunaka dzekutengesa.
Kunzwisisa maitiro ekuziva uye kudzivirira aya masaini enhema anogona kusimudzira zvakanyanya yako yekutengesa zano. Kutanga, zvinokosha kuti kwete kuvimba chete neMACD nezvesarudzo dzako dzekutengesa. Inofanira kushandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo uye zvishandiso kuti ive nechokwadi chekuongorora kwakanyatsojeka kwemusika. Chiratidzo chimwe chete chinogona kutsausa, nepo masaini akati wandei anowanzo chiratidzo chakasimba chekuuya kwemutengo wekufamba.
Zvakare, zvakakosha kuti nzwisisa mamiriro emusika yauri kutengesa pasi payo. Zvirongwa zvakasiyana zveMACD zvinoshanda zvirinani mumamiriro akasiyana emusika. Semuenzaniso, mumusika usingachinji, iyo MACD inogona kuburitsa zviratidzo zvakawanda zvenhema, nepo iri mumusika wekufamba, inogona kuve chaiyo.
Imwe nzira yekudzivisa zviratidzo zvenhema ndeye shandisa MACD pamwe chete nemutsara wechiratidzo. Mutsara wechiratidzo ndeye 9-zuva EMA yeMACD Line. Seavhareji inofamba yechiratidzo, inogona kushanda seyakatsetseka kunze kweiyo MACD masaini. Maererano ne Investopedia, apo MACD inoyambuka pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo, inopa chiratidzo chekusimudzira, zvichiratidza kuti inogona kuva nguva yakanaka kutenga. Sezvineiwo, iyo MACD painowira pazasi pechiratidzo mutsara, inopa iyo bearish chiratidzo.
Pakupedzisira, funga nezve nguva yakatarwa yezano rako rekutengesa. Nguva pfupi inogona kupa mamwe masaini enhema, nepo nguva yakareba inogona kupa zviratidzo zvinovimbika. Nzira yakajairwa ndeye kushandisa MACD pane chati yevhiki kutsanangura maitiro ese uye wobva washandisa chati yezuva nezuva kuronga nguva yako. trades.
Nekunzwisisa aya nuances, unogona kudzivirira musungo wezviratidzo zvenhema uye kuita iyo MACD chikamu chakakosha che yako yekutengesa zano.
4.2. Kushandisa MACD mune Akasiyana Musika Mamiriro
The MACD (Kufambisa Avhareji Convergence Divergence) chishandiso chinogoneka zvakasiyana-siyana chinogona kushandiswa mumamiriro akasiyana siyana emusika. Zvinonyanya kubatsira mukuona zvingangotenga uye kutengesa masaini mune ese ari maviri mafambiro uye akasiyana-akasungwa misika.
mune musika unofamba, MACD inogona kubatsira traders ratidza mukana wekupinda nekubuda. Kana iyo MACD mutsara ichiyambuka pamusoro pemutsara wechiratidzo, inowanzova chiratidzo chebullish chinogona kuratidza nguva yakanaka yekutenga. Sezvineiwo, kana iyo MACD mutsara ikayambuka pazasi pechiratidzo mutsara, inowanzoonekwa seyebheji chiratidzo uye inogona kuratidza kuti inguva yakanaka yekutengesa.
mune range-bound market, iyo MACD inogonawo kuratidza kubatsira. Traders inowanzotarisa mutsauko pakati peMACD uye mutengo wekuita sechiratidzo chekugona kutendeuka. Semuyenzaniso, kana mutengo uchidzikira pasi asi iyo MACD iri kudzika zvakanyanya, iyi bhaibheri divergence inogona kuratidza kuti kuderera kuri kurasikirwa nekusimba uye kudzoreredza kunogona kunge kuri pamakadhi.
Nekudaro, senge chero chishandiso chekutengesa, iyo MACD haina benzi. Zvakakosha kuishandisa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo uye nzira dzekuongorora kuti uwedzere mikana yekubudirira. Izvi zvinotsinhirwa naJohn J. Murphy mubhuku rake 'Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets', apo anoti, "Zviratidzo zvakanakisisa zvakapiwa nekusiyana kweMACD-Histogram."
Kuverenga histogram yeMACD inogona kupa mamwe maonero. Kana iyo histogram iri yakanaka, inoratidza kuti iyo MACD mutsara uri pamusoro peiyo mutsara wechiratidzo uye inogona kuratidza kusimudzira kwekusimudzira. Kune rimwe divi, kana histogram isina kunaka, zvinoreva kuti mutsara weMACD uri pazasi pemutsara wechiratidzo uye unogona kuratidza bearish kasi.
Traders inogonawo kutsvaga kusiyana kwe histogram sechimwe chiratidzo chinogona. Semuyenzaniso, kana mutengo urikukwira zvakanyanya asi histogram ichiita yakaderera, iyi bearish divergence inogona kuratidza kuti kukwira kuri kurasikirwa nemhepo uye kudzoka kungangove kuri kuuya.
Rangarira, iyo MACD chingori chishandiso mu trader's arsenal. Inonyanya kushanda kana ichishandiswa sechikamu chehurongwa hwekutengesa hwakazara, uchifunga nezvezvimwe zviratidzo zvehunyanzvi, fundamental analysis, uye manzwiro emusika.
4.3. Risk Management muMACD Trading
Kunzwisisa uye kuita manejimendi enjodzi chinhu chakakosha che MACD kutengesa. Iyo Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) inhamba-inotevera yekukurumidza chiratidzo inoratidza hukama pakati pemavhareji maviri anofamba emutengo wekuchengetedza. Icho chishandiso chakakosha, asi senge nzira dzese dzekutengesa, haina kupusa.
Risk management muchirevo chechinyorwa chino chinonyanya kusanganisa kuisa a rega kurasikirwa level. A stop loss i order yakaiswa ne a broker kutengesa chibatiso kana chasvika pamutengo wakati. MACD traders kazhinji vanoisa kurasikirwa kwavo kwekumira panguva ichangoburwa yakakwira kana swing yakaderera kudzikamisa kurasikirwa kunogona kuitika. Ndiwo maitiro anogona kukubatsira kuchengetedza capital yako kana musika wamukira chinzvimbo chako.
Uyewo, traders shandisa iyo MACD histogram kuyera kusimba kwemaitiro. Kana iyo histogram iri pamusoro pe zero uye ichikwira, icho chiratidzo chakasimba chebullish. Kana iri pazasi zero uye ichidonha, ndiyo yakasimba bhizari chiratidzo. Kutengeserana kwakanangana nemaitiro uye kuziva masaini aya kunogona kubatsira kubata njodzi.
Imwe nzira yekugadzirisa njodzi inosanganisira kungoisa panjodzi chikamu chidiki chekutengesa kwako capital pane chero trade. Mutemo wakajairwa wegunwe ndeyekuisa njodzi isingapfuure 1-2% yemari yako yekutengesa pane imwechete trade. Izvi zvinobatsira kuona kuti kunyangwe a trade inopikisana newe, kurasikirwa kwako kuchaganhurwa.
Uyezve, traders inogona kushandisa diversification kugadzirisa njodzi. Izvi zvinoreva kusaisa mazai ako ose mubasket rimwe. Nekutengesa zvinhu zvakasiyana-siyana, unogona kuparadzira njodzi uye zvinogona kuwedzera mikana yako yekuita purofiti.
Njodzi-ku-mubayiro chiyero imwe pfungwa inokosha. Chiyero chengozi-ku-mubairo chinoyera mutsauko uripo pakati pea trade's yekupinda uye kumira-kurasikirwa uye kutora-purofiti mazinga. Chiyero che1:3, semuenzaniso, zvinoreva kuti uri mungozi 1 kuti ugone kuita 3. Traders kazhinji kutsvaga trades ine ngozi yakanaka-ku-mubairo reshiyo kuti vawedzere purofiti yavo zvichienzaniswa nekurasikirwa kwavanogona kuita.
Muchidimbu, manejimendi enjodzi mukutengesa kweMACD anosanganisira musanganiswa wematanho anosanganisira kuseta mazinga ekurasikirwa, kutengesa munzira, kuisa panjodzi chikamu chidiki chemari yako pane chero. trade, kusiyanisa yako trades, uye kutsvaga njodzi yakanaka-kune-mubairo reshiyo. Ndezvekuita sarudzo dzine mufungo kwete kusiya zvinhu nemukana. Rangarira, chinangwa ndechekuchengetedza capital yako uye kuwedzera purofiti yako.
yeuka, a sound risk management strategy ndiyo inosiyanisa ane mwaka trader kubva kune mutsva. Ndiyo nheyo yekubudirira kwenguva refu mukutengesa. Saka, shandisa nguva yako mukunzwisisa uye kushandisa mazano aya. Yako yemberi yekutengesa pachako ichakutendai.
